BMIE Market 14223

Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,611 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,383 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±672 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,665 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,241 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,161 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,801 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,025 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±91 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$216,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,115 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14223
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+3.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+64.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 22–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14223. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.5	77	40%	+31.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.9	63	35%	+22.0
Market Momentum Score	59.1	59	25%	+14.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,611	83	40%	+33.4
Median household income (ACS)	84,161	67	40%	+26.8
Households (ACS)	10,383	86	20%	+17.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.7	49	35%	+17.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.4	63	25%	+15.7
Population (ACS)	22,611	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	84,161	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	3.7	60	50%	+30.0
10-year restaurant growth	3.7	49	30%	+14.6
20-year restaurant growth	64.7	72	20%	+14.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (53)

By cuisine

American 9 · Dessert 9 · Coffee 7 · Asian 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Mexican 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Greek 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · African 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 13 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 3 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adams Empire Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service			open
Akis Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	299 Kenmore Ave	open
Anderson's Frozen Custard Anderson's Main St, Williamsville	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	2235 Sheridan Dr	open
AOG Cigar Lounge	Bar		3495 Delaware Ave	open
Balkan Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	687 Kenmore Ave	open
Bengali Restura	Restaurant (service type not stated)		687 Kenmore Ave	open
Buffalo Chinese Christian Church	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	763 Englewood Ave	open
Buffalo Fitness Meal Prep, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		230 Highland Pkwy	open
Cameos Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		482 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
China Town Cuisine China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	737 Delaware Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1759 Sheridan Dr	open
Colombo Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	265 Kenmore Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service	Burgers · American	782 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	261 Kenmore Ave	open
Dimarcos Of Wny Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 Englewood Ave	open
Don's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	481 Englewood Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2200 Sheridan Dr	open
Eat Glaze	Dessert	Dessert	Englewood Ave	open
Englewood Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		850 Englewood Ave	open
Epicurus II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	299 Kenmore Ave	open
Frank Gourmet Hot Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	707 Kenmore Ave	open
Jim's Steakout Jim's Steak and Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	2180 Sheridan Dr	open
Lincoln Park Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)		540 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Mama Mia Pizzeria & Wings 215 Highland Pkwy, Buffalo NY, 14223 County: Erie County	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	215 Highland Pkwy	open
Mighty Taco Mighty Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1762 Sheridan Dr	open
Mighty Taco	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	396 Kenmore Ave E	open
Miller's Thumb Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	258 Highland Pkwy	open
Neighbors Pub	Bar · Casual dining		337 Kenmore Ave	open
Osaka Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	546 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	1747 Sheridan Drive	open
Paradise Island Restaurant	Bar	Caribbean	244 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Partner's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	934 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Paula's Donuts Paula's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	380 Kenmore Ave	open
Pie-O-Mine Pie-O-Mine / Greens	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls · American	1725 Sheridan Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3669 Delaware Ave Erie	open
Public Espresso + Coffee SPoT Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1210 Colvin Blvd	open
Roger's Burgers	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	542 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Ruchi Bangladeshi Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	687 Kenmore Ave	open
Saigon Bangkok Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Thai · Asian	512 Niagara Falls Blvd	open
Sal's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	687 Kenmore Ave	open
Shibam Yemeni & Mediterranean Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Middle Eastern · American	727 Kenmore Ave	open
Sinatra's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	945 Kenmore Ave	open
Taco Community Beer	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	370 Highland Ave	open
Tailgate Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	741 Delaware Rd	open
Taste of Spicy Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	265 Kenmore Ave	open
The Howling Rooster	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Greek · American	529 Englewood Ave	open
The Lamson Lounge	Bar		99 Lamson Rd	open
The Sugar Palette Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	833 Englewood Ave	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1777 Sheridan Dr	open
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop	Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1235 Colvin Blvd	open
Timothy J Hennessy Pllc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1195 Colvin Blvd	open
Tin Tin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	695 Kenmore Ave	open
Yalleys African Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	African · American	290 Kenmore Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	23	20	9	8	3	3	NAICS1997
1999	25	22	11	8	3	3	NAICS1997
2000	29	26	11	10	5	3	NAICS1997
2001	26	24	11	9	4	2	NAICS1997
2002	23	18	8	9	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	20	17	7	8	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	23	19	6	10	2	4	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	6	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	21	17	7	10	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	25	21	8	13	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	28	24	8	15	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	27	24	9	13	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	31	26	10	13	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	31	26	9	14	3	3	NAICS2007
2012	28	24	6	14	4	2	NAICS2012
2013	30	27	8	14	5	2	NAICS2012
2014	29	25	6	14	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	30	25	6	14	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	24	20	4	13	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	31	28	10	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	27	9	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	26	9	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	24	7	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	25	8	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	27	24	7	14	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	28	11	14	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14223. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14217	1.6 mi	52	2023
14216	1.8 mi	64	2023
14214	2.3 mi	25	2023
14150	2.4 mi	87	2023
14226	2.4 mi	84	2023
14207	3.1 mi	27	2023
14261	3.2 mi	8	1997
14215	3.2 mi	30	2023
14260	3.4 mi	3	2023
14222	4.0 mi	47	2023
14208	4.1 mi	3	2023
14209	4.3 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.