BMIE Market 14214
Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,314 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,512 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,670 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±643 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,142 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $58,228 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,407 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 31.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $240,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14214 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +8.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +31.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -7.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 30 (range 27–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14214. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 60.2 | 60 | 40% | +24.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.7 | 57 | 35% | +19.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 47.3 | 47 | 25% | +11.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,314 | 82 | 40% | +33.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 58,228 | 27 | 40% | +10.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,670 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 8.7 | 53 | 35% | +18.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.7 | 66 | 25% | +16.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,314 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 58,228 | 27 | 20% | +5.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 8.7 | 53 | 30% | +15.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 31.6 | 53 | 20% | +10.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (86)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 14 · Burgers 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 6 · BBQ 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Halal / kosher 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Café 12 · Quick service 11 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Russell Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Russell St | open | |
| 3172 Main Street Associates Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3172 Main St | open | |
| Amy's Place | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Coffee | 3234 Main St | open |
| At Eleven Wings & Cuisines | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American · Seafood | 3225 Main St | open |
| Atomic Wings Atomic Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 3199 Main St | open |
| Bgoods BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2383 Fillmore Ave | open |
| Bijou Cafe | Café | Coffee | 2495 Main St Ste 201 | open |
| Bite Me Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3292 Main St | open | |
| Broadway Joe's | Bar | BBQ · American | 3051 Main St | open |
| Buffalo Delights | Bakery | Bakery | 3292 Main St | open |
| Buffalo Food Village and Nursery | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | open | ||
| Buffalo Suya | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 2383 Fillmore Ave | open |
| Burger Authority | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3476 Main St | open |
| Calios | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · Italian · American | 3160 Main St | open |
| Central Park Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 2519 Main St | open | |
| Country Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3175 Main St | open |
| Crazy Good Eatz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2285 Main St | open | |
| Current Hospitality Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2495 Main St Ste 250 | open | |
| Destiny's on Main Street | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2328 Main St | open |
| Doctor Bird Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 3104 Main St | open |
| Eddie's Chophouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3171 Main St | open |
| Elam Jewett Cafe | Café | Coffee | 96 Jewett Pkwy | open |
| Fairy Cakes Cupcakery | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 289 Parkside Ave | open |
| Famous Doughnuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 3043 Main St | open |
| Fillmore Food Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2189 Fillmore Ave | open |
| FRESH Bites & Smoothie's | Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Burgers | 3102 Main St | open |
| Gyro king | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher | 2614 Main St | open |
| Habibi of the Nile Hookah & Tobacco Lounge | Bar | 3124 Main St | open | |
| HALAL FEAST Ó - BUFFALO | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Halal / kosher · American | 3264 Main St | open |
| Holy Feast (Halal) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 3198 Main St | open |
| JAM Parkside | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 301 Parkside Ave | open |
| Jawani Express | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Sandwiches | 473 E Delavan Ave | open |
| Jim's Steakout Jim's Steak and Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 3094 Main St | open |
| Just Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3172 Main St | open |
| Kalypso Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 12 Winspear Ave | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 470 E. Delavan Avenue | open |
| Kung Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 3268 Main St | open |
| Lake Effect Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 3165 Main St | open |
| Lake Effect Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1900 Hertel Ave | open |
| Landies Candies | Dessert | 2495 Main St Ste 350 | open | |
| Lasalle Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3063 Main St | open |
| Lomato's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 285 Parkside Ave | open |
| Lucky Koi Bubble Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 3216 Main St | open |
| Luxor Steak & Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3199 Main St | open | |
| Main Street Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Goodyear Hall | open |
| Mighty Moe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1900 Hertel Ave | open |
| Ming Café | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3268 Main St | open |
| New Golden Nugget | Casual dining · Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2046 Fillmore Ave | open |
| Pandora's Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 2261 Fillmore Ave | open | |
| Parkside Candy Parkside Candy Co. | Dessert | Dessert | 3208 Main St | open |
| Parkside Meadow | Casual dining · Bar | American | 2 Russell St | open |
| Pocket Coffe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | open | |
| Ranch House Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2285 Main St | open | |
| Rita's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3476 Main St | open |
| Sandwich Shoppe | Other | Sandwiches | 12 Winspear Ave | open |
| SATO Ramen Sato Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 3268 Main St | open |
| Seven Hearts Coffee Co | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2929 Main St | open |
| Shango New Orleans Bistro and Wine Bar | Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3260 Main St | open |
| So Delicious | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2383 Fillmore Ave | open |
| Spaghetti Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 5719 Victoria Avenue | open |
| Specialty Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2280 Fillmore Ave | open |
| Street Cafe & Halal Foods | Café | Coffee · Italian · Burgers | 2614 Main St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 3382 Main St | open |
| Sweet_ness 7 Cafe | Café | Coffee | 301 Parkside Ave | open |
| Synnamon’s Soul Food & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1995 Fillmore Ave | open |
| Tandoori Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 3171 Main St | open |
| The Hoagie Stop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 2285 Main St | open |
| The Juicery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Casual dining | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | Meadow Dr | open |
| The Lunch Box | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | Coffee | 2495 Main St | open |
| The Star Hub | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 443 Cameron Road | open | |
| The Steer Restaurant & Saloon | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3151 Main St | open | |
| The Viking | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3051 Main St | open |
| Tim Horton's | Quick service | 3198 Main St | open | |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 150 Kapoor Hall | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 3470 Main St | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2157 Main St | open |
| Tracy Street Productions Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3151 Main St | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 3476 Main St Ste 200 | open |
| Vasilis Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 1900 Hertel Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3362 Main Street | open |
| Wil's Bbq Sauce Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2 Russell St | open |
| Woodlawn Beach Tiki Bar | Bar | 3165 Main St | open | |
| Xpressway Pizzeria | Quick service | Burgers · Pizza | 72 E Amherst St | open |
| Cake Face, Ltd | Bakery | Bakery | 2495 Main St Ste 516 | closed |
| Fast Frank's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12 Winspear Ave | closed | |
| Sandwich Envy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3189 Main St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 36 | 27 | — | — | — | 9 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 33 | 24 | — | — | — | 9 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 36 | 27 | — | — | — | 9 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 31 | 24 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 9 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 27 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 31 | 22 | 11 | 11 | — | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 14 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 23 | 10 | 13 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 21 | 8 | 13 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 35 | 24 | 10 | 14 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 35 | 22 | 10 | 12 | — | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 41 | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 39 | 27 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 38 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2022 |