BMIE Market 14212
Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,299 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,668 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 10,641 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,614 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $44,020 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,651 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $990 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $103,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,743 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14212 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 22 (range 18–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14212. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 48.2 | 48 | 40% | +19.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.3 | 62 | 35% | +21.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 59.6 | 60 | 25% | +14.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,299 | 75 | 40% | +29.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 44,020 | 9 | 40% | +3.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,668 | 73 | 20% | +14.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 35% | +28.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.3 | 67 | 25% | +16.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,299 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 44,020 | 9 | 20% | +1.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.1 | 64 | 50% | +32.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 30% | +24.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -16.7 | 15 | 20% | +2.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (70)
By cuisine
American 7 · Dessert 6 · Indian 6 · Asian 5 · Coffee 5 · Halal / kosher 5 · Pizza 5 · Chinese 4 · Middle Eastern 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · German / Eastern European 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · European 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Bar 15 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 6 · Café 5 · Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Lounge | Bar | 300 Detroit St | open | |
| Al Cohen's Famous Rye Bread | Bakery | Bakery | 1132 Broadway St | open |
| Aladdin Grill House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 754 Sycamore St | open |
| Alkhayma Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Casual dining | Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher · Coffee · American | 1505 Broadway | open |
| Almandi Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 797 Broadway | open |
| Apa's Kitchen & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 999 Broadway St, Store Number 93 | open |
| Apa's Kitchen and More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 999 Broadway, Unit 93 | open |
| Babcia's Pierogi | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | German / Eastern European · European | The Broadway Market, 999 Broadway | open |
| Bay Leaf Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · American | 864 Broadway | open |
| Bismillah Bangla Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Halal / kosher | 2431 Broadway | open |
| BRE & DS PIZZA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1575 Broadway St | open |
| Broadway Ready | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1538 Broadway | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1066 Broadway | open |
| Cali Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 999 Broadway St | open |
| Cathay Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 890 Broadway | open |
| Chester chicken halal zabihah Chester's Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Halal / kosher | 729 Sycamore St | open |
| China Kitchen China kitchen Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1600 Broadway | open |
| Chrusciki Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 999 Broadway St | open |
| Club 1210 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1210 Broadway St | open | |
| Club 77 Bar & Grill | Bar | 1614 Broadway | open | |
| Darus Salam Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 1064 Sycamore St | open |
| Dick's Eastside Inn | Bar | 221 Lombard St | open | |
| Dimples Mini Pancakes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 999 Broadway St | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1105 Broadway St | open |
| Down The Way Chop Steak Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 1179 Broadway | open |
| Draeona's Family Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 222 Gibson St | open |
| East West Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café | Coffee · American | 999 Broadway | open |
| Fakh Fakhina Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 797 Broadway | open |
| Falcons | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1153 Broadway | open | |
| Golden Garden Restaurant Golden Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Chicken / wings · Asian | 1265 Broadway | open |
| Golden Hour Treats & Things | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Breakfast | 735 Sycamore St | open |
| Hot Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 959 Broadway | open |
| House of China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 543 Broadway | open |
| Kiebzak's Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | German / Eastern European | 38 Crocker St | open |
| Kitchen @ the Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 999 Broadway | open |
| Laurel & Hardy Cafe | Bar | 1388 Broadway St | open | |
| Macky's Shamrock Room | Casual dining · Bar | British / Irish pub food | 1634 Bailey Ave | open |
| Madina Halal Sweets & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 125 Mills St | open |
| Margie's Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast | 999 Broadway St | open |
| Melanie Sweets Unlimited | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 999 Broadway | open |
| Mona's International Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1442 Broadway St # 1812 | open |
| Mumbo Wings n Things | Bar | 999 Broadway | open | |
| Musafir | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher | open | |
| Nate's Place | Bar | 1038 Smith St | open | |
| Nowak's Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 1458 Lovejoy St | open | |
| Overtime Sports Bar & Grill | Bar | 2055 Broadway St | open | |
| Pizza Express Pizza Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1993 Broadway | open |
| Potts Deli & Grille at the Broadway Market | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Breakfast | 999 Broadway | open |
| Pristach's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1634 Bailey Ave # 2009 | open |
| R & L Lounge | Bar | German / Eastern European | 23 Mills St | open |
| R Bar | Bar | 2139 Broadway St | open | |
| Shys Original Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 690 Fillmore Ave | open | |
| Silver Fox Inn | Bar | 2249 Broadway | open | |
| Soda Pops | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 136 Herman St | open |
| Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1210 Broadway St | open |
| Strawberry Island Chocolate | Dessert | Dessert | 999 Broadway | open |
| Sweet Melody's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 999 Broadway | open |
| Sweet Temptations Du Jour | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 999 Broadway | open |
| Tehari | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 754 Sycamore St | open | |
| The Buffalo Pizza Beast | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Pizza · Sandwiches · Coffee | 2093 Broadway | open |
| The Groove Lounge and Cafe | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1210 Broadway & Lathrop St | open |
| The New Spot | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1388 Broadway | open | |
| Three Stories Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1021 Broadway Floor 3 | open |
| Trini Tropical Treats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 209 Paderewski Dr | open |
| We R Nuts | Dessert · Food truck | 999 Broadway | open | |
| Yemen Star Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 754 Sycamore St | open |
| Avenue Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1575 Broadway St | closed |
| M&s Deli Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 864 Broadway St | closed |
| Taste Of Life | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 889 Sycamore St | closed | |
| Triple Deuce Tavern | Bar | 222 Gibson St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 34 | 18 | — | — | — | 16 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 28 | 16 | — | — | — | 12 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 34 | 20 | — | — | — | 14 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 30 | 19 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 11 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 11 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 25 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 9 | — | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 9 | — | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | 9 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 6 | — | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 5 | — | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 5 | — | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 7 | — | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 7 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 8 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 7 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 9 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 9 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 10 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 14 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 21 | 16 | 4 | 11 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 10 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |