BMIE Market 14203
Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 2,424 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±493 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,668 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±353 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 1,618 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 936 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $56,141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,697 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,331 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | Data source not yet connected |
| Land area | 2.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14203 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 123.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +104.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +164.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +21.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 60 (range 53–67) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.2 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 40 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14203. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 40.2 | 40 | 40% | +16.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47.8 | 48 | 35% | +16.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 79.9 | 80 | 25% | +20.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 40 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 2,424 | 48 | 40% | +19.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,141 | 23 | 40% | +9.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,668 | 58 | 20% | +11.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 104.6 | 94 | 35% | +33.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 185.6 | 2 | 25% | +0.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 2,424 | 48 | 20% | +9.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,141 | 23 | 20% | +4.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.8 | 67 | 50% | +33.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 104.6 | 94 | 30% | +28.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 164.7 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (129)
By cuisine
Coffee 19 · American 15 · Sandwiches 8 · Italian 7 · Dessert 6 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Seafood 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · Filipino 1 · French 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 67 · Bar 43 · Casual dining 19 · Café 13 · Coffee shop 12 · Dessert 10 · Brewery / taproom 9 · Food truck 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 5 · Other 3 · Catering 2 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (716) Food and Sport | Bar | 7 Scott St | open | |
| 617MainStreet | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 617 Main St | open | |
| Abyssinia Ethiopia Cuisine LLC. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 617 Main St | open |
| Adelina Foods Buffalo Llc Dba Newbury Salads Expo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 617 Main St | open | |
| Big Ditch Brewing Company | Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar | 55 E Huron St | open | |
| Bittersweet Piano Lounge | Bar | 391 Washington St | open | |
| Black Button Distilling | Winery / distillery / taproom | 149 Swan St | open | |
| Blue Cave Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 128 Genesee St | open |
| Brothers Restaurant and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 475 Ellicott St | open |
| Buffalo Whiskey Fest | Bar | 391 Washington St | open | |
| Butterwood Desserts | Dessert | Dessert | 391 Washington St | open |
| Caffe Aroma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 295 Main St Rm 101 | open | |
| Cape Harbor Management | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1111 Fuhrmann Blvd | open | |
| Charlie the Butcher's Express Charlie The Butcher's Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | Grand Lobby, Ellicott Square Building, 295 Main St | open |
| Charlie's Boat Yard Cookies & Cream | Dessert · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1111 Fuhrmann Boulevard | open |
| City Fare Cafe and Catering | Café · Catering | Coffee · Sandwiches | 483 Main St | open |
| Cobblestone | Casual dining · Bar | 130 South Park Ave | open | |
| Consumer's Beverages Beer Garden | Bar | 225 Fuhrmann Blvd | open | |
| Consumer's Pub at the Park | Casual dining · Bar | Coca-Cola Field, One James D. Griffin Plaza, Griffin Plaza, 275 Washington St | open | |
| D'Avolio Kitchen | Other | Sandwiches | 535 Main St | open |
| Deep South Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 291 Ellicott St | open |
| Didonato Associates | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 689 Main St | open | |
| Downtown Bazaar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 617 Main St | open | |
| duende at Silo City | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 85 Silo City Row | open | |
| Dug's Dive | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1111 Fuhrmann Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 665 Elm St Roswell Hospital | open |
| E Cafe at the Glenny | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 249 Main St | open |
| Eddie Brady's | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 97 Genesee St | open |
| Electric Avenue Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 300 Ellicott St | open |
| EM Statler Dining Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 121 Ellicott St | open |
| Ever Berry | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 403 Main St | open |
| Expo Market Buffalo, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 617 Main St | open | |
| Fables Cafe | Café | Coffee | 1 Lafayette Sq | open |
| Fattey Beer Co. Buffalo Fattey Beer Co | Bar · Brewery / taproom | 5 Genesee St | open | |
| Fera's Electric Tower Cafe | Café · Fast casual | Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 535 Washington St #100 | open |
| Flip-Flop Hot Dogs & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Hot dogs | 32 Fuhrmann Blvd | open |
| Garden Grille & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | 10 Lafayette Square | open | |
| GBGB | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican | 617 Main St | open |
| Get Souped Up | Food truck | open | ||
| Gino & Joes NY Pizza ( DOWNTOWN ) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 403 Main St | open |
| Graylynn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 537 Main St | open | |
| Griddle & Greens | Other | Sandwiches | 295 Main St | open |
| Gypsy Bohemian Grove Bar | Bar | 617 Main St | open | |
| Handlebar | Bar | 149 Swan St | open | |
| Hearth + Press | Café | Mediterranean · Pizza · Coffee | 665 Main St | open |
| Hh 310 Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10 Lafayette Sq Ste 1900 | open | |
| Hombre y Lobo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 149 Swan St Ste 1 | open |
| House Of Charm | Bar | 517 Washington St | open | |
| Ideas That Smile Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 323 Ganson St | open | |
| Jacks Corner Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee | 111 Genesee St | open |
| Jaz and Jack's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 36 Broadway St | open |
| Jerk's Soda Fountain & Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 523 Main St | open |
| JJs Casa Di Pizza Casa da Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 11 E Mohawk St | open |
| Joe's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches | 818 Ellicott St | open |
| Just Pizza Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1 Seneca Tower | open |
| Kaydara Noodle Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 777 Main St | open |
| Labatt Brew House Tasting Bar | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 79 Perry St | open | |
| Lafayette Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom | 391 Washington St | open | |
| Lagerhaus 95 | Casual dining · Bar | 95 Perry St | open | |
| Leopard Lounge | Bar | 681 Main St | open | |
| Lexus Club | Bar · Buffet | American | 1 Seymour H Knox III Plz | open |
| Lloyd 5 Taco Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| Lloyd Taco Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| Lloyd the III Taco Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| Luxury Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 136 N Division St | open |
| Man-aung Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 14 Lafayette Sq | open |
| Marble + Rye | Casual dining · Bar | 112 Genesee St | open | |
| Mcm Trophy's Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 643 Main St | open | |
| Mercato | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 617 Main St | open |
| Misuta Chow's | Bar | 521 Main St | open | |
| NaserCo Halal Food Cart | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 23 Lafayette Square | open |
| Natalie's Mediterranean Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 111 Genesee St | open |
| New Dragon Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 525 Main St | open |
| Niagara Distilling Company : 1812 Vodka and Gin | Bar | 459 Ellicott St | open | |
| OSB Buffalo/OSB Ciderworks | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 517 Main St | open | |
| Oshun | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 5 E Huron St | open |
| Other Half Buffalo Other Half Brewing Company | Bar | 1 Seneca St | open | |
| Overwinter Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9 Genesee St | open |
| Panera Bread | Coffee shop | Coffee | 818 Ellicott St | open |
| Panorama on Seven | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 95 Main St | open |
| Pattaya Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai | 617 Main St #200 | open |
| Perks Cafe | Café | Coffee | 448 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Pinoy Boi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 617 Main St | open |
| Pizza Plant Italian Pub - Canalside Pizza Plant Italian Pub - Williamsville | Brewery / taproom · Bar | Italian · Pizza | 125 Main St | open |
| Pour Man's Aud Club | Bar | KeyBank Center | open | |
| Public Espresso + Coffee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 391 Washington St | open | |
| Raclettes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 537 Main St | open |
| Rainbow Deli Rainbow Media Co. | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 403 Main St #110 | open |
| Restaurant on Main | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 601 Main St | open | |
| Resurgence Brewing Company at Canalside | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 44 Prime St | open | |
| Revive Smoothie Shack Llc | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 391 Washington St | open |
| Roux Soup Bar & Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1 News Plz | open |
| Seabar Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 475 Ellicott St | open | |
| Shanty Shack at Buffalo Harbor | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1111 Fuhrmann Blvd | open |
| Shea’s Bistro & Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 658 Main St | open |
| Soirée Lounge and Grille | Bar | American | 391 Washington St | open |
| Southern Tier Brewery Buffalo Southern Tier Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 7 Scott St | open | |
| Streetlight Brasserie | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 5 E Huron St | open |
| Swannie House | Bar | 170 Ohio St | open | |
| Tappo Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 338 Ellicott St | open |
| TGI Fridays | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 601 Main St | open |
| ThaBodiCorp | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 487 Main St | open |
| The Beer Garden At Riverworks | Brewery / taproom | 359 Ganson St | open | |
| The Bijou | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 643 Main St | open |
| The Draft Room | Casual dining · Bar | 79 Perry St | open | |
| The Flaming Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 535 Main St | open |
| The Healthy Scratch | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 75 Main St Ste 4 | open |
| The Irish Times | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food | 38 Swan St | open |
| The Lunch Box | Other | Sandwiches | 465 Main St | open |
| The Salty Chefs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 111 Genesee St Ste 103 | open |
| The Sinclair Sinclair Oil | Bar | 465 Washington St | open | |
| The Ward | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 359 Ganson St | open |
| The ZamZam Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Halal / kosher | 601 Main St | open |
| Tim Horton's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 121 Ellicott St | open | |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1 Scott Street Seymour H. Knox Iii Plaza (Harborcenter) | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 875 Ellicott St | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 474 Michigan Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 181 Ellicott St | open |
| Tredecimllc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 487 Main St | open | |
| Truebean Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 523 Main St | open |
| Ulrich's 1868 Tavern | Bar | 674 Ellicott St | open | |
| Unapologetic Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 899 Main St | open |
| Undergrounds Killer Kiosk - Seneca One Undergrounds Coffee House and Roastery | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1 Seneca St | open |
| Vault@237 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 237 Main Rd | open | |
| Washington Square Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 245 Washington St | open | |
| Weck On Wheels (Anderson's Food Truck) | Food truck | open | ||
| Wonder Coffeehouse | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 323 Ganson St | open |
| The Bagel Jar @ Public Espresso | Bakery | Bakery | 391 Washington St | closed |
| Toutant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 437 Ellicott St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 43 | 37 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 37 | 31 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 42 | 35 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 46 | 40 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 34 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 36 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 35 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 32 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 43 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 39 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 37 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 39 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 37 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 42 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 19 | 11 | 8 | — | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 43 | 22 | 15 | 7 | — | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 42 | 22 | 16 | 6 | — | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 45 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 55 | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 61 | 39 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 62 | 39 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 63 | 41 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 65 | 43 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 9 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 64 | 44 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 63 | 44 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 68 | 48 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 9 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 66 | 45 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | NAICS2022 |