BMIE Market 14218
Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,312 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,613 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,039 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,443 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $54,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,940 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $878 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $150,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,919 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14218 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -24.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -26.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -32.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -44.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 15 (range 11–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.0 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 11 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14218. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 57.7 | 58 | 40% | +23.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43.0 | 43 | 35% | +15.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 11.0 | 11 | 25% | +2.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,312 | 82 | 40% | +32.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 54,748 | 21 | 40% | +8.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,613 | 83 | 20% | +16.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -26.9 | 11 | 35% | +3.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.4 | 75 | 25% | +18.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,312 | 82 | 20% | +16.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 54,748 | 21 | 20% | +4.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 11 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -24 | 12 | 50% | +5.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -26.9 | 11 | 30% | +3.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -32.1 | 10 | 20% | +1.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
American 11 · Dessert 9 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 6 · Italian 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Middle Eastern 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Caribbean 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 18 · Quick service 12 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A to Z Discount Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1243 Abbott Rd | open |
| Abbott Texas Red Hots | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · American | 1291 Abbott Rd | open |
| Alsultan Restaurant and Bakery | Bakery | Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher · Bakery | 178 Ridge Rd | open |
| Bakery Bish | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1245 Abbott Rd | open |
| Baraka Eats and Treats | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Middle Eastern | 119 Wilkesbarre St | open |
| Beef N Ale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3167 South Park Ave | open |
| Bella Pizza Bella Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3330 S Park Ave | open |
| Big Will’s Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2540 Hamburg Tpke | open | |
| Bonetti's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3053 Lyth Rd | open |
| Broadway Bobby's Pizzeria Broadway Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 677 Ridge Rd | open |
| C2's | Bar | American | 1254 Electric Ave | open |
| Cantina 62: Mexican American Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2723 S Park Ave | open | |
| Carabba's Italian Restaurant, Amherst Ny | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Italian | open | |
| Chars Grill | Food truck | Burgers · Hot dogs | 1219 Abbott Rd | open |
| Cheezie's Little Vegas | Bar | 39 Kane St | open | |
| Chester's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2368 Hamburg Tpke | open |
| Crave King Mediterranean Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 2693 South Park Ave | open |
| Crazy Sweets | Dessert | Dessert | 1550 Abbott Rd | open |
| Curly's Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · American | 647 Ridge Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3126 South Park Ave 3126 S Park Ave | open |
| Danny Boy's Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 1271 Abbott Rd | open |
| Datburgerdude LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 62 Eagan Dr | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 954 Ridge Road | open |
| Faso's Grateful Bear & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1506 Abbott Rd | open |
| Gp Express South Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3287 S Park Ave | open | |
| Halleez | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery | 954 Ridge Rd | open |
| Hookawanna Smoke Shop | Bar | 283 Ridge Rd | open | |
| Ice House Revival | Bar · Casual dining | 715 Ridge Rd | open | |
| Jokers Bar | Bar | 1783 Electric Ave | open | |
| Kona Ice of South Buffalo Kona Ice | Dessert · Food truck | WNY | open | |
| La Lounge | Bar | 719 Ridge Rd | open | |
| Lackawanna Grove | Bar | 2847 S Park Ave | open | |
| Lashed Lounge | Bar | 2901 S Park Ave | open | |
| Lin Chopstick House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 721 Ridge Rd | open |
| Mable’s Bakery & Chocolate Shop | Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1234 Abbott Rd | open |
| Melroy Inn | Bar | open | ||
| Murph's Warsaw Grill | Bar | 1 Warsaw St | open | |
| My Nano Treats | Dessert | Dessert | 300 S Shore Blvd | open |
| Nikki’s Family Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1245 Abbott Rd | open |
| Nite Cappe Restaurant & Lounge | Bar | 1769 Abbott Rd | open | |
| Number 1 Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1246 Abbott Rd | open |
| O'Daniels GinMill & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 1305 Abbott Rd | open | |
| Oishi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1506 Abbott Rd | open |
| Pat's Submarines | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1741 Abbott Rd | open |
| Pho Kim Chi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 2744 South Park Ave | open |
| PrimeTime Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1819 Abbott Rd | open |
| Queen City Foods | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2510 Hamburg Tpke | open |
| Rooster's Cafe | Casual dining · Café | American · Coffee · Breakfast | 93 Ridge Rd | open |
| Socotra Café | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Middle Eastern | 671 Ridge Rd | open |
| Sonny Red's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 1841 Abbott Rd #3230 | open |
| South Park Express Pizza & Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Pizza | 3045 S Park Ave | open |
| Stack Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · Burgers | 1506 Abbott Rd | open |
| Steel City Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 1449 Abbott Rd | open | |
| Steve's Pig & Ox Roast | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Sandwiches | 951 Ridge Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1361 Abbott Rd | open |
| The Mulberry | Italian Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 64 Jackson Ave | open |
| The Pour House Sports Bar | Bar | 2847 South Park Ave | open | |
| The Press Box | Bar | 1841 Abbott Rd | open | |
| The Redeye Bar | Bar | 1311 Abbott Rd | open | |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2530 Hamburg Tpke Apt Rt5 | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1340 Ridge Rd | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2080 Abbott Rd | open |
| Victoria Square Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 717 Ridge Rd | open | |
| Winfield's Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1213 Ridge Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 52 | 34 | — | — | — | 18 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 46 | 28 | — | — | — | 18 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 41 | 24 | — | — | — | 17 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 42 | 25 | — | — | — | 17 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 40 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 17 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 36 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 13 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 40 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 17 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 40 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 17 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 46 | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 16 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 43 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 15 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 40 | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 12 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 40 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 37 | 26 | 14 | 12 | — | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 44 | 27 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 14 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 39 | 26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 10 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 39 | 25 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 10 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 37 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 10 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 36 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 36 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 38 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 42 | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 29 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 42 | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 42 | 30 | 13 | 15 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 39 | 25 | 9 | 14 | — | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 35 | 24 | 10 | 12 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 24 | 9 | 13 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 22 | 9 | 12 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 31 | 20 | 9 | 10 | — | 7 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 29 | 19 | 9 | 8 | — | 6 | NAICS2022 |