BMIE Market 14201
Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,369 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,063 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,022 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±384 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,549 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,991 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $40,512 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,554 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,053 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±65 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $337,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,386 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14201 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -9.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +21.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 35 (range 30–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14201. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 47.5 | 47 | 40% | +19.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46.4 | 46 | 35% | +16.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 40.5 | 41 | 25% | +10.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,369 | 74 | 40% | +29.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 40,512 | 6 | 40% | +2.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,022 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.7 | 65 | 35% | +22.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.6 | 31 | 25% | +7.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,369 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 40,512 | 6 | 20% | +1.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -9.7 | 19 | 50% | +9.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.7 | 65 | 30% | +19.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 40 | 58 | 20% | +11.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (74)
By cuisine
American 9 · Coffee 8 · Latin American (other) 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Pizza 5 · Mexican 4 · Caribbean 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Vegetarian 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Cuban 2 · European 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Bar 17 · Casual dining 10 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Burger Venture | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Burgers | 175 Allen St | open |
| Allen St Hardware Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 245 Allen St | open | |
| Allen St. Poutine Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 242 Allen St | open | |
| Allentown Cafe | Café | Coffee | 220 Allen St | open |
| Allentown Eatz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Pizza | 233 Allen St | open |
| Allentown Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 94 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Amy's Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| Beacon Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 185 Allen St | open |
| Bellini's Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 350 Pennsylvania St | open |
| Betty's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 370 Virginia St | open |
| Bflo Pizza Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · European | 388 Porter Ave | open |
| Big Big Table | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Vegetarian | 272 Hudson St | open |
| Billy Club | Bar | American | 228 Allen St | open |
| Buffalo Melting Point | Other | Sandwiches | 244 Allen St | open |
| Calumet Art Cafe Of Buffalo Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 245 Allen St | open | |
| Cantina Loco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 191 Allen St | open |
| Casa Azul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 191 Allen St | open |
| Chef BigWayne Jamaican Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 242 Allen St | open |
| Community Beer Works | Brewery / taproom | 520 7th St | open | |
| Cozumel Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 153 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Crust Pizza Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 242 Allen St | open |
| Custard Corner & Grill | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 211 Porter Ave | open |
| Downtown Buffalo Entertainment, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 31 N Johnson Park | open | |
| Duke's Bohemian Crocodile Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | 253 Allen St | open | |
| Duke's Bohemian Grove Bar (DBGB) | Bar | 253 Allen St | open | |
| El Carajo | Bar | Mexican | 283 Virginia St | open |
| El Coquito 716 | Bakery · Dessert · Catering | Bakery · Dessert | 242 Allen St | open |
| El Encanto Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 257 Virginia St | open |
| Equal Parts | Casual dining · Bar | 149 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Exchange | Bar | 256 Allen St | open | |
| Falley Allen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 204 Allen St | open |
| Frizzy's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 140 Allen St | open | |
| Fry Baby Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 336 S Elmwood Ave | open |
| Gabriel's Gate | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 145 Allen St | open |
| Good Guys Deli and Grill | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar | Sandwiches | 315 Jersey St | open |
| Gorman Bates Motel | Bar | 132 College St | open | |
| Grindhaus Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 160 Allen St | open |
| Holley Farms Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 233 Allen St #1417 | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 381 Busti Ave | open | |
| La Flor Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 544 Niagara St | open |
| La Tee Da | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 206 Allen St | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 390 Niagara St | open |
| Mg Public Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 256 Allen St | open | |
| Mtmex Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 191 Allen St | open | |
| Niagara Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 525 Niagara St | open |
| Nietzsche's | Bar | 248 Allen St | open | |
| Oscar's 31 Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 31 N Johnson Park | open | |
| Panda Kitchen INC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 524 Niagara St | open |
| Pasión | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 153 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Quaker Bonnet Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | Sandwiches | 175 Allen St | open |
| Ricottas Pizza Niagara | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 349 Niagara St | open |
| Sabores De Mi Tierra | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Cuban | 247 Niagara St | open |
| Same Old Antics | Bar · Café | American · Coffee | 1234 Narnia St | open |
| Sample | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 242 Allen St | open |
| Savoy | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 149 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Sazon Criollo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 272 Hudson St | open |
| Steel Crazy Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 191 Allen St | open | |
| Strong Hearts Buffalo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian · American | 295 Niagara St | open |
| Sue's New York Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Coffee shop · Bakery | Sandwiches · Vegetarian · Coffee · Bakery | 130 S Elmwood Ave | open |
| Sweet Tooth | Dessert | Dessert | 94 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Teton Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai · Japanese | 153 Elmwood Ave | open |
| The Alley Cat | Bar · Casual dining | 199 Allen St | open | |
| The Hoagie Stop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 220 Allen St | open | |
| The Intersection Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 100 Elmwood Ave | open |
| The Woods & Wine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 25 Johnson Park | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 425 Niagara St | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 380 Niagara St | open |
| Tipico Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 128 Fargo Ave | open |
| Tlc Mobility Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 229 W Genesee St Unit 322 | open | |
| Tops Friendly Markets TOPs Friendly Markets | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 150 Niagara St | open |
| Vasilis Express Gyros and Souvlakis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 94 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Wired Bison Consultants Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 125 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Allen Street Bar And Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 223 Allen St | closed |
| Sweet Temptations Du Jour | Bakery | Bakery | 220 Allen St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 26 | 21 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 25 | 21 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 22 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 27 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 11 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 28 | 24 | 14 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 28 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 34 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 40 | 31 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 39 | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 43 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 46 | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 8 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 42 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2022 |