BMIE Market 14213
Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,107 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,997 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,492 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±664 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,465 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,532 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $53,870 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 31.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±63 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $211,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,410 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14213 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -3.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +68.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +10.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 42 (range 36–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14213. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 58.8 | 59 | 40% | +23.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.9 | 66 | 35% | +23.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 52.9 | 53 | 25% | +13.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,107 | 85 | 40% | +33.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 53,870 | 20 | 40% | +8.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,492 | 85 | 20% | +16.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60 | 86 | 35% | +30.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.3 | 59 | 25% | +14.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,107 | 85 | 20% | +16.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 53,870 | 20 | 20% | +4.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -3.0 | 24 | 50% | +12.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60 | 86 | 30% | +25.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 68.4 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (107)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 11 · Italian 9 · Pizza 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 7 · Burgers 6 · Asian 5 · BBQ 5 · Chinese 5 · Caribbean 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Mexican 4 · Thai 3 · Breakfast 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Indian 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Vietnamese 2 · African 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 72 · Bar 17 · Casual dining 12 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 10 · Café 9 · Dessert 8 · Brewery / taproom 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Catering 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 007 Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 242 Grant St | open |
| 007 Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 242 Grant St | open |
| 100 Acres: The Kitchens at Hotel Henry | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 444 Forest Ave | open |
| 195 Grant Street Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches · Middle Eastern | 195 Grant St | open |
| 71syrup waffles N eatz | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 1461 Niagara St | open | |
| Abyssinia Ethiopian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 25 Grant St | open |
| Albert's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 296 W Ferry St | open | |
| Augie’s | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Burgers · American | 346 Connecticut St | open |
| Autark Brewhouse | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 420 Auburn Ave | open | |
| BBQ Chick | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Chicken / wings | 362 Grant St | open |
| Bean Bastard Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1270 Niagara St | open |
| Big Dawgz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1043 West Ave | open | |
| Black Diamond Cake Designs | Bakery | Bakery | 160 16th St | open |
| Black Dots | Bar | 368 Grant St | open | |
| Bootleg Bucha | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1250 Niagara St | open | |
| BreadHive Wholesale | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee · American | 123 Baynes St | open |
| Britesmith Brewing - Buffalo | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 1250 Niagara St | open | |
| Buffalo Casual Dining | Casual dining | American | 1511 Niagara St | open |
| Buffalo Paper & Detergent Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 182 Breckenridge St | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 601 Busti Ave | open |
| Butter Block | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 426 Rhode Island St | open |
| Cafe Express | Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 226 Grant St | open |
| Chocolate Shop | Dessert | 871 Niagara St | open | |
| Community Beer Works | Brewery / taproom | 15 Lafayette Ave | open | |
| Company B. Tasting Room and Market | Bar | 1250 Niagara St | open | |
| Daniela | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 387 Forest Ave | open |
| Denver and Dallas Barbecue | Catering | BBQ · American | 387 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Downhill Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 47 Brayton St | open |
| Elsworth Of Buffalo Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 511 Rhode Island St | open | |
| Essex St. Pub | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ | 530 Rhode Island St | open |
| Extra Extra Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 549 W Utica St | open |
| Five Points Bakery | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast | 44 Brayton St | open |
| Foibles | Other · Bakery | Bakery | 172 Rhode Island St | open |
| Freddy J's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 195 Grant St | open |
| Free Street Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 1469 Niagara St | open | |
| Frost Artisan Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1197 Niagara St | open |
| Fry Baby Donut Co. | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Vegetarian | 69 Chenango St | open |
| Garden Of Eden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Middle Eastern | 68 Grant St | open |
| Gold Lion Coffee House | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1255 Niagara St | open |
| Gypsy Parlor | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 376 Grant St | open | |
| Happy Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1432 Niagara St | open |
| Himalayan Feast | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Indian · American | 643 Grant St | open |
| House of China House of China Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 250 Forest Ave | open |
| JJolie's Chinese Traditional Healthy Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 25 Grant St | open |
| Karen Goodman Catering | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 69 Chenango St | open |
| Kiosko Latino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 25 Grant St | open |
| Ko Foods Galaxy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Grant St | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 896 Niagara St | open |
| La Casa De Sabores | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 1 Letchworth St | open |
| La Cocina De TiTà Restaurant & El Rincón Dulce de Tità Cakes and More. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 1432 Niagara St | open |
| La Nova Pizzeria La Nova Bruidsmode | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 371 W Ferry St | open |
| Las Puertas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 385 Rhode Island St | open |
| Los Monchies | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 1460 Niagara St | open | |
| Louie's Texas Red Hots | Quick service | Hot dogs · Burgers | 6 Great locations throughout Buffalo | open |
| Luigi's Family Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 83 Forest Ave | open |
| Mahboba's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1432 Niagara St | open | |
| Marco's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1085 Niagara St | open |
| Martin Cooks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 346 Connecticut St | open | |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 241 W Ferry St | open |
| Merlion Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 69 Chenango St | open |
| Michelle's Caribbean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 346 Connecticut St | open |
| Mint Mojito Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1225 Niagara St | open | |
| Mister Pizza Mister Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 643 Grant St | open |
| Moneybags Dumplings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 69 Chenango St | open |
| Moor Pat | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 112 Dorchester Rd | open | |
| Mortalis Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1250 Niagara St Ste 130 | open | |
| Nine & Night | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 414 Amherst St | open |
| One Thai Food | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Thai | 1432 Niagara St | open |
| Pattaya Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southeast Asian (other) | 25 Grant St | open |
| Pho Dollar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 322 W Ferry St | open |
| Pho Lantern Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 837 Niagara St | open |
| Pizza Town | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 859 Niagara St | open |
| Prime 490 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 490 Rhode Island St | open |
| Providence Social | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 490 Rhode Island St | open |
| Quick Bite’s 716 | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1043 West Ave | open |
| Rascals | Quick service | 1516 Niagara St | open | |
| Remedy House | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 429 Rhode Island St | open |
| Resurgence Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom | 1250 Niagara St | open | |
| Roost | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1502 Niagara St Apt 302 | open |
| Roseland's Atlas Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 492 Rhode Island St | open |
| Southern Junction | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 365 Connecticut St | open |
| Sports City Pizza Pub | Bar · Casual dining | Pizza | 1407 Niagara St | open |
| Sweet Variations | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 838 Niagara St | open |
| Sweet_ness 7 Cafe | Café | Coffee | 220 Grant St | open |
| SZN | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Mexican · Healthy / salads / bowls | 387 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Taqueria Ranchos La Delicias | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1516 Niagara St | open |
| Thai & Burmese Halal Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Thai | 314 Plymouth Ave | open |
| Thang's Family Japanese Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 25 Grant St | open |
| The Armory Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 311 Connecticut St | open |
| The Black Sheep | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European | 367 Connecticut St | open |
| The Corner Pizzeria | Delivery-focused | Pizza · Chicken / wings | 380 Connecticut St | open |
| The Left Bank | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 511 Rhode Island St | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1088 Niagara St Suite 100 | open |
| Twin Petrels Seltzer Co. | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1250 Niagara St Ste 400 | open |
| Vag Development | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 385 Rhode Island St | open | |
| Vinne's NY Pizza & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 643 Grant St | open |
| Wa Wa Asian Snacks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Asian · Sandwiches | 25 Grant St | open |
| Wah Sing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 238 W Ferry St | open |
| We Love Buffalo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 643 Grant St | open |
| West Take Out | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1032 West Ave | open |
| Westside Flea | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 96 Grant St | open | |
| Whats Pop-in Gourmet Popcorn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Dessert | Dessert | 418 W Ferry St | open |
| WNY Coffee Tech Solutions | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 202 Rhode Island St | open |
| Zip's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 409 Grant St | open |
| Dickie's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 1315 Niagara St | closed |
| Skyway Tavern | Bar | 1473 Niagara St | closed | |
| Street Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 410 Connecticut St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 48 | 29 | — | — | — | 19 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 43 | 29 | — | — | — | 14 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 44 | 26 | — | — | — | 18 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 44 | 28 | — | — | — | 16 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 39 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 34 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 32 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 36 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 29 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 32 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 32 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 9 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 9 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 34 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 40 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 33 | 20 | 11 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 43 | 34 | 19 | 13 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 43 | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 45 | 32 | 17 | 13 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 47 | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 42 | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2022 |