BMIE Market 14222
Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,311 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,470 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,894 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±650 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,046 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,950 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $81,652 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,688 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,174 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $407,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51,601 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14222 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 31.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +2.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -4.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +9.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +51.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 41–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14222. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 72.3 | 72 | 40% | +28.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 40.6 | 41 | 35% | +14.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 43.6 | 44 | 25% | +10.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,311 | 77 | 40% | +30.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,652 | 64 | 40% | +25.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,894 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4.1 | 21 | 35% | +7.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 30.7 | 19 | 25% | +4.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,311 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,652 | 64 | 20% | +12.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 2.2 | 59 | 50% | +29.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4.1 | 21 | 30% | +6.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 9.3 | 39 | 20% | +7.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (126)
By cuisine
American 19 · Coffee 14 · Asian 8 · Italian 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Greek 7 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 6 · Japanese 5 · Bakery 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Mediterranean 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Thai 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · European 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Indian 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sushi 2 · Vegan 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 77 · Bar 27 · Casual dining 16 · Café 14 · Coffee shop 10 · Dessert 8 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 4 · Other 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1122 Elmwood Ave | open |
| 727 Elmwood | Casual dining · Bar | 727 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| A Taste of Soul The Hashery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 423 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Acropolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · American | 708 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Aguacates Mexican Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 765 Elmwood Ave | open |
| AK Café | Café | Coffee | 1285 Elmwood Ave | open |
| AK Cafe at Albright-Knox Art Gallery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1285 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Aloha Energy | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 770 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Ambrosia Taverna | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 451 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Aroma on Bryant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 307 Bryant St | open |
| Belly Boy Buffalo | Dessert | Dessert | 875 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Big Mood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 423 Elmwood Ave Ste 100 | open |
| Billionaire Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 451 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Bing Brand Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 988 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Breezy Burrito Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1000 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Buffalo Kitchen Club | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 431 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Buffalo Wing Kings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 484 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Burchfield Cafe by Oliver's Burchfield Penney Art Center | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | open | |
| Cafe Aroma | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | open | |
| Caffe Aroma | Coffee shop · Café · Bar | Coffee | 957 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Casa di Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 477 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Cecelia's Ristorante & Martini Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 716 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Charlie The Butcher's Carvery Charlie The Butcher's Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 770 Elmwood Ave Ste a | open |
| Chinese Kitchen Of Buffalo Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 224 Elmwood Ave Ste A | open | |
| Cluck Cluck Moo Moo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 484 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Cole's | Bar · Casual dining | 1104 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Cookies & Cream Cookies & Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 929 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Dolci Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 802 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Elmwood Taco & Subs | Quick service | Mexican · Sandwiches | 937 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Epic Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 431 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Erbert & Gerbert's | Other | Sandwiches | 484 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Faherty's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 486 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Falafel Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1009 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Forty Thieves | Casual dining · Bar | American | 727 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Fowler's Chocolates | Dessert | Dessert | 746 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Gino's NY Pizza Elmwood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1009 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Globe Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 762 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Golden Dragon Elmwood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 224 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Haraz Coffee House | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Middle Eastern | 471 Elmwood Ave | open |
| High Violet | Bar | 710 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Hong Kong Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1120 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| India Gate Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 1116 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Inizio | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 534 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Iron Tail Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 802 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| J.P. Bullfeathers American Grill and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1010 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Jack Rabbit | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 1010 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Jamba Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 1300 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Jb's Bake Shop | Bakery | Bakery | 1124 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Jim's Steakout Jim's Steak and Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 938 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Jimmy John's | Other | Sandwiches | 770 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Jt’s Urban Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 905 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Just Pizza & Wing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 300 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Kings & Queen Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 754 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Kuni's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 226 Lexington Ave | open |
| Lex 220 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 220 Lexington Ave | open |
| Lloyal's Famous Lasagna With A Touch Of Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1122 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Lloyd Taco Factory Lloyd Taco Factory | Bar | Mexican | 492 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Louie's Original Footlong Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 470 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Louies Texas Red Hots Elmwood | Casual dining | Hot dogs · American | 1098 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Mama Mia's Pizza & Wings | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 215 Highland Ave, 215 Highland Ave | open |
| McGarrets | Bar | 946 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Merlin's Pub | Bar | 727 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Mezza Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 929 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Milkie's Elmwood Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | 522 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Mira | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · European | 1081 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Mister Pizza Elmwood Mister Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1065 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Mr. Goodbar | Bar | 1110 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Mr. Greek of Buffalo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · German / Eastern European | 1122 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Mykonos Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 1066 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Mykonos Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean | 516 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Nektar | Bar | 451 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Overwinter Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 814 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 765 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Pano's On Elmwood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 1081 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Parivaar Pub | Bar | Indian | 708 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Pataphysics | Bar | 105 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Petey's Pizzeria & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 577 Forest Ave | open |
| Popularity | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | open | ||
| Red Door West Salon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 700 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Rock Burger ROCK BURGER | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 502 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Rockwell Hall | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1300 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Root & Bloom Cafe & Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 438 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Roux Soup Bar & Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1300 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Saigon Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Thai · Asian | 520 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Salsarita's Fresh Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1300 Elmwood Ave | open |
| SATO Sato Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 739 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Soul Domolicious, LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 875 Elmwood Ave | open |
| SPoT Coffee Elmwood SPoT Coffee | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 765 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Squeeze Juicery | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 770 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1300 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 531 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 933 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Stone City Saloon 716 | Bar | 220 Lexington Ave | open | |
| Street Asian Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Asian · American | 516 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Strutter's Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse | 307 Bryant St | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1124 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1300 Elmwood Ave., Campbell Student Union | open |
| Taqueria El Dorado | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 478 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Taste Of Asia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 494 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Taste of Siam | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 810 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Thai Bowl Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Southeast Asian (other) · Asian | 1020 Elmwood Ave | open |
| The Beer Keep | Bar | 1002 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| The Cereal Spot | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 547 Elmwood Ave | open |
| The Flaming Fish Food Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| The Place | Casual dining · Bar | American | 229 Lexington Ave | open |
| The Terrace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 199 Lincoln Pkwy | open |
| Thin Man Brewery | Brewery / taproom | 492 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Thinking Elvish Fantasy Chocolate | Dessert | Dessert | 423 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Thirsty Buffalo | Bar · Casual dining | 555 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Tim Hortons | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 219 Bryant St | open | |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Quick service | Japanese · American | 577 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Tipico Coffee and Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1084 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Tokyo Shanghai Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 494 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Toro Tapas Bar | Bar | 492 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Tpc Elmwood Cafe Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1084 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Trattoria Aroma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 307 Bryant St | open | |
| Vasilis Express | Quick service | Greek · Mediterranean | 1066 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Vera Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 220 Lexington Ave | open |
| Waikiki Poke & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls | 914 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Wasabi Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 752 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Watson's Chocolates Watson's Chocolates | Dessert | Dessert | 738 Elmwood Ave | open |
| White Rabbit Frozen Yogurt | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 802 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Wine Thief | Bar | 431 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Zio's Deli & Heroes | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1055 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Kamuchisan | Café | Coffee | 266 Elmwood Ave | closed |
| Sahara Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 976 Elmwood Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 34 | 31 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 34 | 32 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 37 | 34 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 39 | 35 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 44 | 38 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 40 | 33 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 42 | 33 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 46 | 38 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 55 | 40 | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 50 | 43 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 56 | 49 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 59 | 50 | 30 | 18 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 60 | 52 | 30 | 20 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 57 | 47 | 28 | 17 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 62 | 44 | 25 | 17 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 56 | 38 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 64 | 44 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 63 | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 69 | 48 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 71 | 49 | 26 | 18 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 70 | 49 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 69 | 48 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 66 | 46 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 64 | 45 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 66 | 46 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 65 | 46 | 25 | 17 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 65 | 46 | 24 | 19 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 62 | 45 | 23 | 19 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 67 | 49 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 68 | 47 | 24 | 17 | 6 | 7 | NAICS2022 |