BMIE Market 14207
Erie County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,327 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,548 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,550 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±598 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 23,552 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,053 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $39,753 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,359 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $964 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $133,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,996 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14207 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -12.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +3.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -18.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 31 (range 24–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14207. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 54.2 | 54 | 40% | +21.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.4 | 53 | 35% | +18.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 25.8 | 26 | 25% | +6.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,327 | 86 | 40% | +34.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 39,753 | 6 | 40% | +2.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,550 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 3.9 | 49 | 35% | +17.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.3 | 71 | 25% | +17.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,327 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 39,753 | 6 | 20% | +1.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -12.9 | 17 | 50% | +8.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 3.9 | 49 | 30% | +14.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -18.2 | 14 | 20% | +2.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (127)
By cuisine
American 25 · Asian 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 7 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Thai 6 · BBQ 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Coffee 5 · Breakfast 4 · Burgers 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Italian 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · African 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Spanish / tapas 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 67 · Bar 27 · Quick service 17 · Casual dining 16 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 9 · Specialty food shop 6 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acqua Restaurant & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2192 Niagara St | open | |
| Amira's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Vegetarian | 894 Tonawanda St | open |
| Anna Grill Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Italian · Bakery | 205 Ontario St | open |
| Ashker’s | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 414 Amherst St | open |
| Bake Goodz Inc | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 37 Chandler St | open |
| Barry's Bar | Casual dining · Bar | 277 Amherst St | open | |
| Beer Goggles | Bar | 126 Esser Ave, Buffalo, NY 14207 | open | |
| Black Rock Kitchen & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 491 Amherst St | open |
| Black Rock Riverside Drinking Establishments | Bar | Black Rock, 54 Riverdale Ave | open | |
| Black Squirrel Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1595 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Bloom & Rose Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 27 Chandler St # 204a | open | |
| Buffalo Barrel + Brine | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 155 Chandler St | open |
| Buffalo Cake Pops Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 27 Chandler St # 214a | open |
| Buffalo Cider Hall | Winery / distillery / taproom | 155 Chandler St | open | |
| Buffalo NightClubs | Bar | American | Chippewa | open |
| Buffalo Supper Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2179 Niagara St | open |
| Buffalo Sushi Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1893 Niagara St | open |
| Buffalo's Sunshine Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 1993 Niagara St | open |
| Built Without Guilt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 27 Chandler St Ste 306a | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 365 Amherst St | open |
| Carriage Trade Pastries | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 1654 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Casey's Black Rock | Bar | 484 Amherst St | open | |
| Chandler Street Breweries | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 166 Chandler St | open | |
| Cheat Days | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 183 Hertel Ave | open |
| Checkers Checkers and Rally's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1969 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Chester's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 205 Ontario Street | open |
| ChocoMaker, Inc. | Dessert | Dessert | 1800 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Corneille Caribbean Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Caribbean · American | 533 Amherst St | open |
| Crenshaw's Chicken And Waffles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 37 Chandler St Ste 111A | open |
| Dalmatia Hotel | Casual dining · Bar | 1187 Tonawanda St | open | |
| Dill's Tavern | Bar | 362 Military Rd | open | |
| Doyle's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1981 Niagara St, 1981 Niagara St | open |
| El Encanto Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2179 Niagara St | open | |
| Emily's Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 183 Hertel Ave | open |
| Family Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Southeast Asian (other) · Asian | 863 Tonawanda St | open |
| Far East Bayou | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 37 Chandler St | open |
| Faso's Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 2126 Niagara St | open |
| Fenglin Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1999 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Firemen Blend smokehouse BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 37 Chandler St | open |
| Flavors of Jean | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 1187 Tonawanda St | open |
| Flying Bison Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 491 Ontario St | open | |
| Fowler's Chocolates | Dessert | 100 River Rock Dr Ste 102 | open | |
| Gather and Game | Café | Coffee | 463 Amherst St | open |
| Hen House Nashville Hot Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 690 Hertel Ave | open |
| Hook & Ladder No.12 | Bar | 395 Amherst St | open | |
| Hot Mama's Canteen | Casual dining · Bar | American | 12 Military Rd | open |
| House Of Sandwich LLC | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 800 Tonawanda St | open |
| Infernos Lounge | Bar | open | ||
| J&L's Boulevard BBQ Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| Jess Right Eats And Catering | Catering | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 27 Chandler St | open |
| Jet 2727 Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 27 Chandler St | open | |
| Joe's New York Style Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 345 Amherst St | open |
| JUICED by The Wave | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1893 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Kate's Bar & Restaurant | Bar | 1125 Tonawanda St | open | |
| King of BBQ | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1904 NIAGARA St | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 897 Tonawanda St | open | |
| Lin Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 927 Tonawanda St | open |
| Logan's Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 27 Chandler St | open |
| Louie's Foot Long Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 1893 Niagara St | open |
| Lucy East African Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 916 Tonawanda St | open |
| Lucy Ethiopian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 388 Amherst St | open |
| Lucy's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 863 Tonawanda St | open |
| Make'n Mold | Dessert | Dessert | 1800 Elmwood Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2156 Niagara St | open |
| Mega Mart Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Coffee shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 132 Vulcan St | open |
| Multi Media Store Services Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1700 Niagara St | open | |
| Nephew's BBQ | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 1125 Tonawanda St | open |
| Niagara Deli & Pizzeria | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Pizza | 2043 Niagara St | open |
| Nick's Place | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 504 Amherst St Suite A | open |
| Nikki's Chocolates WNY | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Bakery | 27 Chandler St | open |
| Nine & Night Thai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 414 Amherst St | open |
| Nye Park Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1672 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Panda Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 839 Tonawanda St | open |
| Papa Jake's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1672 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Pat's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 544 Ontario St | open |
| Peace Of Mind Treats | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 126 Austin St | open |
| Pierce Arrow Bar & Grill | Bar | 1680 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Pizza Bella & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1133 Tonawanda St | open |
| Plug Hookah Lounge | Bar | 1880 Niagara St | open | |
| Poize Restaurant & Lounge | Bar | American | 2081 Niagara St | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2090 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Pressure Drop Brewing | Brewery / taproom | 1672 Elmwood Ave | open | |
| Radah Baked Goods | Bakery | Bakery | 247 Amherst St | open |
| Rinconcito Criollo D Don Juan at Vulcan Mart | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 90 Vulcan St | open |
| Riverfront On The Niagara | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2192 Niagara St | open |
| Riverside Hotel | Bar | 1160 Tonawanda St | open | |
| Riverside Place | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1083 Tonawanda St | open |
| Roaming Bison Tavern | Bar | BBQ | 732 Hertel Ave | open |
| Rohall's Corner | Casual dining · Bar | 540 Amherst St | open | |
| Ronio's Bistro | Casual dining · Bar | 1680 Elmwood Avenue | open | |
| Roxy's Bar | Bar | Child's Party, 427 Hertel Ave | open | |
| Sobremesa Buffalo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls | 27 Chandler St | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1876 Elmwood Avenue | open |
| Southern Junction | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 27 Chandler St Ste 111A | open |
| Sportsmen's Park | Casual dining · Bar | 334 Amherst St | open | |
| Steffie's Food Mart | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1592 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Sun Cuisines | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1989 Niagara St | open |
| Suzy Q's Bar-B-Que Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2829 Niagara St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1893 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Tasty Foods Pizzeria & Ctrng | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1594 Elmwood Ave | open |
| The Dapper Goose | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 491 Amherst St | open |
| The Fire Spot Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2829 River Rd | open |
| The Grub Plug | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 37 Chandler St | open |
| The Kitchen Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 690 Hertel Ave | open |
| The Phoenix at 269 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 269 Amherst St | open |
| The Unknown's Club | Bar | 44 Saratoga St | open | |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2207 Niagara St | open |
| Tiny Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 27 Chandler St | open |
| Tomric | Dessert | 85 River Rock Dr | open | |
| Turning Bridge Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 1797 Niagara St | open | |
| Two Wheels Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1006 Grant St | open |
| Viking Lobster Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 366 Tonawanda St | open |
| Vino's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1652 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Vulcan Express Mart | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 132 Vulcan St | open |
| Waxlight Bar a Vin | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 27 Chandler St | open | |
| Whimsy Confections | Dessert | Dessert | 464 Amherst St | open |
| Wingfly | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 894 Tonawanda St | open |
| WRA Buffalo Wing Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Chicken / wings | 426 Hertel Ave | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2101 Elmwood Ave | open |
| Zin’s Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 1989 Niagara St | open |
| حلويات ومأكولات بلاد الشام fresh arabic sweets | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 560 Amherst St | open | |
| Experiencia Latina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 388 Amherst St | closed |
| George's American Diner | Casual dining | American | 1893 Niagara St | closed |
| Mustang Sally's Spirit And Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1700 Niagara St Uppr | closed | |
| Nuchereno Liquor Store | Café | Coffee | 1065 Tonawanda St | closed |
| Pierce Arrow Burger Bar | Casual dining · Bar | 1680 Elmwood Ave | closed | |
| Tappo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | 166 Chandler St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 61 | 33 | — | — | — | 28 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 51 | 27 | — | — | — | 24 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 57 | 30 | — | — | — | 27 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 61 | 36 | — | — | — | 25 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 59 | 34 | 16 | 17 | 1 | 23 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 60 | 34 | 16 | 17 | 1 | 22 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 60 | 32 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 24 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 60 | 32 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 24 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 56 | 33 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 21 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 56 | 33 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 20 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 50 | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 21 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 49 | 29 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 17 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 48 | 31 | 14 | 15 | 2 | 14 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 41 | 28 | 15 | 13 | — | 10 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 37 | 21 | 11 | 10 | — | 13 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 37 | 24 | 11 | 13 | — | 11 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 39 | 25 | 12 | 12 | — | 11 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 37 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 11 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 44 | 26 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 12 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 43 | 26 | 12 | 12 | — | 12 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 38 | 22 | 13 | 8 | — | 10 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 40 | 26 | 15 | 10 | — | 10 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 42 | 30 | 17 | 12 | — | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 31 | 15 | 14 | — | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 46 | 34 | 17 | 14 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 41 | 30 | 15 | 12 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 25 | 10 | 12 | — | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 41 | 28 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 8 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 39 | 27 | 10 | 15 | — | 8 | NAICS2022 |