BMIE Market 16501
Erie County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 2,022 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,288 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 2,044 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 1,471 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $16,394 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,608 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 54.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $521 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±193 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | Data source not yet connected |
| Land area | 0.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16501 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 181.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -19.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -19.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +7.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +11.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 27 (range 22–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 21 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 29 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 15 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16501. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 21 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 28.9 | 29 | 40% | +11.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 14.7 | 15 | 35% | +5.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 18.7 | 19 | 25% | +4.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 29 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 2,022 | 45 | 40% | +18.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 16,394 | 0 | 40% | +0.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,288 | 54 | 20% | +10.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 15 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -19.4 | 14 | 35% | +5.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 143.4 | 3 | 25% | +0.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 2,022 | 45 | 20% | +9.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 16,394 | 0 | 20% | +0.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -19.4 | 14 | 50% | +6.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -19.4 | 14 | 30% | +4.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 7.4 | 38 | 20% | +7.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (108)
By cuisine
American 13 · Coffee 9 · Bakery 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · BBQ 5 · Caribbean 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Middle Eastern 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · French 2 · Japanese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Seafood 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 54 · Bar 32 · Casual dining 16 · Quick service 9 · Café 8 · Bakery 6 · Food truck 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Other 3 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1201 Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 1201 State St | open |
| 28 North Gastropub | Casual dining · Bar | 28 N Park Row | open | |
| 408 Bar And Grille | Casual dining · Bar | 408 State St | open | |
| 814 Chophouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Steakhouse · Spanish / tapas · American | 16 W 10th St | open |
| A. Francisco's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1201 State St | open | |
| After Hours BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | Perry Square | open |
| Alkeme | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 18 N Park Row | open |
| Andora's Bubble Tea Shop | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 516 State St | open |
| Arby's | Quick service | 101 W 12th St | open | |
| Bakery On 5th | Bakery · Café | Bakery · French · Coffee | 502 State St | open |
| bar | Bar · Casual dining | 25 E 10th St | open | |
| BayBreeze Lounge | Bar | 25 E 10th St | open | |
| Bayfront Convention Center Bayfront Convention Center | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 110 E 8th St | open |
| Bertrand's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 18 N Park Row | open |
| BIGBAR | Casual dining · Bar | American | 14 E 10th St | open |
| Blazin Bronco BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | Perry Square Park | open |
| Bourbon Barrel | Bar | 1213 State St | open | |
| Bro Mans Sammiches Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| Cafe 7-10 | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 7 W 10th St | open |
| Calamari's Squid Row | Casual dining · Bar | American · Seafood | 1317 State St | open |
| CamaradERIE BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | open | |
| Cathay Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 3 E 18th St | open |
| Chameleon Food Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| CheesErie | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 22 N Park Row | open |
| Chippers Seafood and Southern Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1023 State St | open |
| Cloud 9 Wine Bar & Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 25 E 10th St | open | |
| Darjeeling Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1014 State St | open | |
| Dina's Authentic Dominican Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 22 N Park Row | open |
| Docksider Tavern | Bar | 1015 State St | open | |
| Dominick's Diner, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 123 E 12th St | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 51 W 14th St | open |
| E Dogg’s Hot Dogs | Food truck | open | ||
| Ejh Entertainment Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8 E 10th St | open | |
| Empanissahs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 38 N Park Rd | open |
| Erie Ale Works | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 416 W 12th St | open | |
| Erie Arena Sports Bar | Bar | 723 French St | open | |
| Erie BBQ & Brew Fest | Bar · Casual dining | BBQ | 913 State St Ste 220 | open |
| Erie Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 1213 Veshecco Dr | open | |
| Eries Balkan House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 262 W 8th St | open | |
| Flower Kitchen Llc | Bakery | Bakery | 900 State St | open |
| Franco's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 416 State St | open |
| Fry & Fly Fish And Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1202 French St | open |
| Gigliotti's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1325 State St | open | |
| Habibi Mediterranean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 127 W 14th St | open |
| Happy Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 418 State St A | open |
| Hookah Cafe | Coffee shop · Café · Bar | Coffee | 129 W 14th St | open |
| Hot Off The Press | Food truck | 416 W 12th St | open | |
| ippa Pizza Napoletana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 508 State St | open |
| Jekyll & Hyde's Bar & Gastropub | Casual dining · Bar | 8 E 10th St | open | |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 515 State St Ste. 1 | open |
| Jo's Brooklyn Bagel Too | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 22 N Park Row | open |
| Joanne's Place | Bar · Casual dining | American | 262 W 8th St | open |
| Julius | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1607 State St | open |
| Kansai Noodle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 262 W 8th St | open |
| Khao Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 36 N Park Row | open |
| Krazy Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1018 STATE St | open | |
| La Casa Criolla | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1707 State St | open |
| Lavery Brewing Co | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 128 W 12th St | open | |
| Liberty Cafe | Café | Coffee | 262 W 8th St | open |
| Like My Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 827 State St | open |
| Lj Development Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 425 State St | open | |
| Luminary Cocktails & Bottle Shop at the Flagship City Market | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 36 N Park Row | open | |
| Luminary Distilling | Bar | 34 N Park Row | open | |
| M Cafe - Erie | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1345 W 12th St | open |
| Mb Pub Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 506 State St | open | |
| McCoy's Barrelhouse & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1013 State St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1115 Sassafras St | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 430 State St | open | |
| Molly Brannigan's Irish Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 506 State St | open |
| Morosky Courtyard Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 150 W 10th St | open |
| Mr. Sub | Other | Sandwiches | 1019 State St | open |
| Mr. Sub | Other | Sandwiches | 420 State St | open |
| Napoli Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 827 State St | open |
| Noodlelove | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 22 N Park Row | open |
| Oba sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 516 State St | open |
| Outlaw Barbecue Revolution Mobile Unit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | Perry Square | open |
| Plymouth Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 1109 State St | open | |
| Ree Ree's Cafe | Café | Coffee | 930 Peach St | open |
| Restaurant KHIR DAMASCUS | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 508 State St | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 427 State St | open |
| Room 33 | Bar | 1033 State St | open | |
| Rose Garden Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 815 State St | open |
| Serafini's Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 417 State St | open |
| Shawarma Station | Food truck | open | ||
| Shish Kabob Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 1202 French St | open |
| Sluggers Sports Bar | Bar | 14 E 10th St | open | |
| SobaEra_Tsaocaa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Noodles / ramen / pho | 506 State St | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 502 State St (State Street - Erie) | open |
| Stevo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1019 State St | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 1018 State St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 425 State St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 118 E 12th St | open |
| Tandoori Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 24 N Park Row | open |
| The Beer Garden | Bar | Upmc Park, 110 E 10th St | open | |
| The Brewerie at Union Station | Bar | American | 123 W 14th St | open |
| The Brig Cigar Lounge | Bar | 419 State St | open | |
| The Culture | Bar | 1021 State St | open | |
| The Magic Cookie Company and Bake Shoppe | Bakery | Bakery | 126 W 9th St | open |
| The Que Abides | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 22 N Park Row | open |
| The Village Supper Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 133 W 18th St | open | |
| The Zone Dance Club | Bar | 133 W 18th St | open | |
| Twisted Elk Outpost | Bar | 36 N Park Row | open | |
| Vilmas Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1707 State St | open |
| Voodoo Brewing Company Voodoo Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 101 Boston Store Pl | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 105 E. 12th St. | open |
| Ye Ole Sweet Shoppe | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 402 State St | open |
| Amela's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 827 State St | closed |
| Hungry Howie's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 128 W 12th St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 33 | 26 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 36 | 29 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 39 | 27 | — | — | — | 12 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 45 | 32 | — | — | — | 13 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 44 | 27 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 14 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 12 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 38 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 13 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 39 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 15 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 38 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 13 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 36 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 37 | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 9 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 41 | 31 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 37 | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 36 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 43 | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 49 | 37 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 10 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 44 | 34 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 49 | 37 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 47 | 36 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 10 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 44 | 35 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 33 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 44 | 35 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 16 | — | 10 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 47 | 36 | 17 | 15 | — | 8 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 46 | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 14 | — | 11 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 42 | 31 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 9 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 43 | 32 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 9 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 41 | 29 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 10 | NAICS2022 |