BMIE Market 24016

Roanoke city, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,521 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,994 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±484 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,047 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,751 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$46,512 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,859 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$119,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,533 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 24016
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+69.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+214.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+46.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 22–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 24016. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.9	48	40%	+19.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.1	56	35%	+19.6
Market Momentum Score	75.9	76	25%	+19.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,521	72	40%	+28.6
Median household income (ACS)	46,512	11	40%	+4.4
Households (ACS)	4,994	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	69.2	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.9	35	25%	+8.8
Population (ACS)	10,521	72	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	46,512	11	20%	+2.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.8	61	50%	+30.6
10-year restaurant growth	69.2	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	214.3	95	20%	+18.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 9 · Bakery 8 · Mexican 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 15 · Bakery 8 · Brewery / taproom 7 · Café 7 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 3 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
7 Stars Lounge	Bar · Café	Coffee	420 Church Ave SW	open
A Few Old Goats Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		515 8th St SW Unit 228	open
Aesy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	505 Campbell Ave SW	open
Asher's Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	425 Campbell Ave Sw Apt B04	open
Athens Corner Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	1003 S Jefferson St	open
Backstreet Cafe	Bar		356 Salem Ave SW	open
Beamer's 25	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Pizza · Burgers	357 Salem Ave SW	open
Benny 757 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		430 Salem Ave Sw # B	open
Benny's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		430 Salem Ave SW	open
Big Lick Brewing Company, LLC	Brewery / taproom · Bar		409 Salem Ave SW	open
Bill's Rathskeller	Bar · Brewery / taproom		542 Walnut Ave SW	open
Birrieria La Vaca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	604 5th St SW	open
Blindhouse Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		534 Salem Ave SW	open
Cheese Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	324 Salem Ave SW Apt 202	open
Da Durty Turkey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African · American	604 5th St SW	open
Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2206 Patterson Ave SW	open
Downshift Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 4th St SW	open
Draper Road Music Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		430 Salem Ave SW	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		536 Orange Avenue Northeast	open
El Sabor Azteca Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1003 S Jefferson St	open
Elote Alebrije	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1210 Patterson Ave SW	open
Evie's Bistro and Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	1212 4th St SW	open
Executive Lounge at The Hotel Roanoke	Bar	Chicken / wings	Shenandoah Ave	open
Food Fanatics Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	551 Marshall Ave SW	open
Food Hut RKE	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches	214 5th St SW	open
fredobake	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Bakery · American	1210 Patterson Ave SW	open
Garden Song Café	Café	Coffee	808 5th St SW	open
Golden Cactus Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		214 5th St SW	open
Heavenly Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1201 Patterson Ave SW	open
Krispy Kreme	Bakery	Bakery	235 Shenandoah Ave NW	open
Lews Restaurant SW Roanoke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza	11 Walnut Ave SW	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	701 Williamson Rd Ne	open
Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	4 Old Whitmore Ave	open
Pedal Biscuit	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	475 Rorer Ave SW	open
Pho Viet Nam	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	535 Orange Ave NE	open
PortBella	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1132 Salem Ave SW	open
Roanoke Valley Criminal Defense	Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 Campbell Ave Sw # 302	open
S&O To-Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	108 N Jefferson St	open
Sakura Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	551 Marshall Ave SW	open
Second Cafe Second	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	813 5th St SW	open
Star City Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	312 13th St SW	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	526 Orange Ave NE	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8 Old Whitmore Ave	open
Starr Hill Pilot Brewery Starr Hill Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		6 Old Whitmore Ave	open
Steam Coffee + Eatery, Authorized Purveyor Of Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	110 Shenandoah Ave NE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	326 Orange Ave NE	open
Sweets By Shaneice, Llc	Bakery	Bakery	501 Campbell Ave SW	open
Tacos Rojas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	737 13th St SW	open
Tajzmah's Lounge	Bar		434 Church Ave SW	open
The Albemarle Bakery & Coffee House	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	203 Albemarle Ave SW	open
The Front Row	Casual dining · Bar		356 Salem Ave SW	open
The Pine Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	110 Shenandoah Ave NE	open
Tuco’s Taqueria	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	416 Salem Ave SW	open
Twisted Track Brewpub	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		523 Shenandoah Ave NW	open
Wild Ridge Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1210 Patterson Ave SW	open
Wildflour Restaurant & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1212 4th St SW	open
Doc's Soul Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)		604 5th St SW	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	17	14	6	6	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	18	14	5	6	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	20	17	6	8	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	20	18	7	9	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	16	10	2	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	14	7	2	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	10	5	1	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	13	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	16	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	17	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	20	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	13	8	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	15	9	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	15	9	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	13	7	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	24	19	10	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	21	11	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	20	8	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	18	10	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	20	10	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	22	10	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 24016. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
24011	0.8 mi	38	2023
24022	1.2 mi	1	1999
24013	1.8 mi	4	2023
24015	1.9 mi	32	2023
24017	2.7 mi	13	2023
24014	4.0 mi	47	2023
24012	4.5 mi	88	2023
24019	5.0 mi	38	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.