BMIE Market 40212
Jefferson County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,661 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,241 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,444 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±553 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,685 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,481 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $35,753 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,889 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,032 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $87,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,581 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 40212 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 9 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.55) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 40212. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.55, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 47.7 | 48 | 40% | +19.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71.9 | 72 | 35% | +25.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 69.4 | 69 | 25% | +17.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,661 | 76 | 40% | +30.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 35,753 | 4 | 40% | +1.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,444 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 35% | +32.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 4.1 | 95 | 25% | +23.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,661 | 76 | 20% | +15.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 35,753 | 4 | 20% | +0.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 20 | 77 | 50% | +38.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 30% | +27.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -14.3 | 15 | 20% | +3.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (43)
By cuisine
Pizza 7 · American 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Coffee 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · BBQ 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 7 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29th Street Bar | Bar | 2829 W Market St | open | |
| Anchor parkway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Pizza · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2737 Northwestern Pkwy | open |
| Annie's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 2520 Portland Ave | open |
| Bad To The Bone MC Louisville | Bar · Casual dining | 301 S 34th St | open | |
| BIG Buddy's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4113 W Market St | open |
| Cavaliers Inn | Casual dining · Bar | 2331 W Main St | open | |
| Chicago's Jerk Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 227 S 30th St | open | |
| Chicagos Jerk Tacos Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 207 Southwestern Pkwy | open | |
| Club Cedar Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 416 S 26th St | open |
| Cup and Cake Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 2441 Griffiths Ave | open |
| Cup of Joy | Coffee shop · Dessert · Café | Coffee · Dessert | 2507 Bank St | open |
| Dowlat Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3820 W Market St | open | |
| Flo's House of Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 3400 W Muhammad Ali Blvd | open |
| Galan's Meat Market & Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 2300 W Market St | open |
| Geechee BAYOU Cajun/creole Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3400 W Market St | open |
| Gigi's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2300 W Market St | open |
| Goodloe's Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 627 N 34th St | open | |
| High Street Public House | Casual dining · Bar | 3300 Northwestern Pkwy | open | |
| Hosanna's Kitchen | Café | Coffee | 139 S 44th St | open |
| Hubers Orchard and Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 19816 Huber Rd | open | |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4105 West Market Street | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3401 W Market Street | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3129 W Muhammad Ali Blvd | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2200 West Market Street | open |
| Indi's Fast Food | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3820 W Market St | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3129 W Muhammed Ali Blvd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2200 W Market St | open |
| Lbads Ice Cream Palor | Dessert · Quick service · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 2606 W Market St | open |
| Little King Pizza & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3400 W Market St | open | |
| Mama Shadia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher | 2300 W Market St | open |
| Mani's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Coffee | 139 S 44th St | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 214 Amy Ave | open |
| Porkland BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2519 St Cecilia St | open |
| Portland Beer Depot | Bar | Pflanz Ave | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 533 W 22nd St | open |
| Subway Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | open | |
| Sugar | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | open | |
| Summa Dis Summa Dat & Moor | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 139 S 44th St | open | |
| Summa Dis, Summa Dat & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2536 W Jefferson St | open | |
| The Executive Club | Bar | 2829 W Market St | open | |
| The Wright Place | Casual dining · Bar | 501 N 33rd St | open | |
| Victory Lane Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Quick service · Bar | 627 N 34th St | open | |
| Donahue's Bar & Grill | Bar | 2737 Northwestern Pkwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 11 | 8 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 11 | 6 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 8 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 8 | 5 | — | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 5 | — | 5 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 10 | 5 | — | 5 | — | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 9 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 9 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 7 | 4 | — | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 7 | 4 | — | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 7 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 9 | 5 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 9 | 5 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 9 | 4 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 9 | 7 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 9 | 5 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 10 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2022 |