BMIE Market 10805

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,903 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,582 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,636 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±573 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,414 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,975 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$102,109 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,031 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,065 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$368,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57,925 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10805
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+53.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 20–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10805. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.3	82	40%	+32.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.6	71	35%	+24.7
Market Momentum Score	37.5	37	25%	+9.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,903	82	40%	+32.9
Median household income (ACS)	102,109	82	40%	+32.9
Households (ACS)	8,636	83	20%	+16.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	35%	+19.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.6	74	25%	+18.5
Population (ACS)	20,903	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	102,109	82	20%	+16.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	30%	+16.5
20-year restaurant growth	53.9	68	20%	+13.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

Italian 10 · American 8 · Sandwiches 7 · Pizza 5 · Burgers 3 · Seafood 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Asian 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Casual dining 9 · Quick service 8 · Bar 7 · Specialty food shop 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4 Bros Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	23 S Division St	open
Agostino's Italian Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	336 Pelham Rd	open
Aspirations Cafe	Other	Sandwiches	4 Franklin Ave	open
Bagels on the Run	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	426 Pelham Rd	open
C J Cullens Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		77 Pelham Rd	open
Drake 25	Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Spanish / tapas · Sandwiches · Coffee	25 Drake Ave	open
Drake Main Cafe & Lounge	Bar		1 Drake Ave	open
Dudley's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	94 Hudson Pk Rd	open
Empire Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	123 Pelham Rd Unit 3	open
Greasy Nick's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	755 Pelham Rd	open
Hong Kong Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	418 Pelham Rd	open
Joserg Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	761 Main St	open
Kenny's on the Water	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Italian	2 Pelham Rd	open
Kiku Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	408 Pelham Rd	open
Koshereats2go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	50 North Ave	open
KRAVE A New York Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · American	8 S Division St	open
Lauren's Pelham Road Spot	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		366 Pelham Rd	open
Leno's Clam Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Burgers	755 Pelham Rd	open
Loupino’s	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	111 Pelham Rd	open
Lunello Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	583 Davenport Ave	open
Lutan Pizza Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		374 Pelham Rd	open
Mamma Francesca Italian Restaurant - Catering & Private Parties - In Westchester - New Rochelle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	414 Pelham Rd	open
Marina Deli Inc	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	416 Pelham Rd	open
Mexico Lindo 3 MEXICO LINDO NYC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	45 Drake Ave	open
Pizza Centre	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	374 Pelham Rd	open
Prohibitions End Cocktail Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		765 Pelham Rd	open
Randhawa & Sons Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 Pelham Rd	open
Red Mango Red Mango	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Quick service	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	400 Pelham Rd	open
Renny	Restaurant (service type not stated)		56 Meadow Ln	open
Roberto's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	102 Drake Ave	open
Salon Mexico	Delivery-focused	American	55 Drake Ave	open
Sammy's New York Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	110 Centre Ave	open
Sandwich King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	338 Pelham Rd	open
Shirley's India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	1 Leroy Pl	open
Shore Road Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	370 Pelham Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	400 Pelham Road Shell Gas Station / C-Store	open
Terranova Brick Oven Pizzaeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	123 Pelham Rd	open
The End Tavern	Bar		765 Pelham Rd	open
The Marina Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American · Italian	290 Drake Ave	open
The Water's Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · Seafood	94 Hudson Park Rd	open
Veg’d Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	119 Pelham Rd	open
YK Ice Cream & Bubble Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	102 Drake Ave	open
Yummykitchen CAFE	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	9 Division St S	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	18	8	5	3	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	21	8	4	4	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	22	10	5	5	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	24	12	5	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	24	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	26	13	7	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	24	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	23	9	3	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	25	10	4	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	25	11	3	8	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	28	14	4	10	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	27	14	5	9	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	31	19	6	11	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	28	16	6	10	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	31	17	8	9	—	4	NAICS2012
2013	31	18	9	9	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	32	20	9	9	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	31	18	9	8	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	30	20	11	8	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	34	22	11	8	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	36	24	12	9	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	33	23	9	9	5	3	NAICS2017
2020	30	20	9	8	3	3	NAICS2017
2021	31	23	9	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	21	8	10	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	20	10	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10805. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10464	2.3 mi	24	2023
10801	2.6 mi	126	2023
10803	2.7 mi	37	2023
10538	3.6 mi	51	2023
10553	3.7 mi	8	2023
10475	3.7 mi	51	2023
10550	4.3 mi	64	2023
10552	4.4 mi	15	2023
10804	4.5 mi	19	2023
10466	4.6 mi	62	2023
11050	4.7 mi	82	2023
10543	4.7 mi	69	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.