BMIE Market 10913
Rockland County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 5,343 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±558 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,458 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 5,532 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 1,635 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $175,357 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,379 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $640,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,757 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10913 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10913. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 75.0 | 75 | 40% | +30.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50.4 | 50 | 35% | +17.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 59.5 | 59 | 25% | +14.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 5,343 | 62 | 40% | +24.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 175,357 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,458 | 56 | 20% | +11.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 26.2 | 25 | 25% | +6.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 5,343 | 62 | 20% | +12.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 175,357 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 75 | 50% | +37.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 40 | 58 | 20% | +11.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (35)
By cuisine
American 9 · Latin American (other) 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Caribbean 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Filipino 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 6 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Café 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bach's Bistro | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Asian · Thai · German / Eastern European | 580 NY-303 Store # 1 | open |
| Bailey's Blauvelt Inn Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 136 E Erie St | open | |
| Bailey's Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 136 Erie St E | open |
| Bistro Filipino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino | 580 Route 303 | open |
| Blauvelt Coach Diner | Casual dining | American | 587 Route 303 | open |
| Donna Scott | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 326 CONVENT Rd | open |
| Doug and Patty | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 600 Rte 303 | open |
| Duggan's International | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 560 Bradley Hill Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 580 Route 303 | open |
| Fuego a la Lata | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 604 NY-303 | open |
| Giovanni's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 535 Western Hwy | open |
| Great Wall | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 580 NY-303 #3 | open |
| Island Breeze Grill and Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Coffee | 326 Convent Rd | open |
| Knockout Eats & Treats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 604 Route 303 | open | |
| Louie's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 533 Western Hwy S | open |
| Nova Kitchen Restaurant and Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 580 NY-303 #7 | open |
| Oak Beverages | Brewery / taproom | 1 Flower Ln, Blauvelt, NY 10913 | open | |
| Oscar's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood · Latin American (other) · Italian | 589 NY-303 | open |
| Overdrive Fitness | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 583 Route 303 | open | |
| Pueblito Latino 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 580 NY-303 S | open |
| Quick Stop Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 28 Van Wyck Rd | open |
| Road House Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Route 303 | open | |
| Rueben's Bagel & Deli | Bakery | Bakery | 589 Route 303 | open |
| Sage Bar And Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 135 Erie St E | open |
| Sillon centroamericano | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 580 NY-303 | open |
| Station One Deli And Convenience Store | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar | Sandwiches | 549 Western Hwy S | open |
| Sweet Life Candies and Novelties | Dessert | 594 RT-303 | open | |
| Tastes of Italy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11 Van Wyck Rd | open |
| The Dining Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 135 Erie St E | open |
| The Rail Trail Cafe & Mercantile | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 543 Western Hwy S | open |
| Tua Cocina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 11 Van Wyck Rd | open |
| West Shore Plaza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 549 Western Hwy | open | |
| Zarrillis Italian Seafood Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 580 Route 303 | open |
| Zoie's Cheesecake | Bakery | Bakery | 543 Western Hwy S STE 4 | open |
| Bailey's Eatery & Market | Other | Sandwiches | 135 E Erie St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 10 | 6 | 5 | — | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 12 | 8 | 6 | — | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |