BMIE Market 10962

Rockland County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,767 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,768 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,950 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,879 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$148,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53,295 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,467 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±373 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$712,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74,723 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10962
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	37.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+60.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10962. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.0	74	40%	+29.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.1	52	35%	+18.2
Market Momentum Score	62.2	62	25%	+15.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,767	60	40%	+23.8
Median household income (ACS)	148,500	96	40%	+38.4
Households (ACS)	1,768	59	20%	+11.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	50.4	10	25%	+2.4
Population (ACS)	4,767	60	20%	+11.9
Median household income (ACS)	148,500	96	20%	+19.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

Italian 7 · American 6 · Asian 6 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Thai 3 · Dessert 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bakery 7 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 5 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&A Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	500 Route 303	open
Allie's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	21 Orangetown Shopping Center	open
Arfetta Inc. D/b/a	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Kings Hwy	open
Aunt Mia's Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	36 Orangetown Shopping Ctr	open
Barkada - Filipino Food Restaurant and Grocery	Quick service		18 Orangetown Shopping Ctr	open
BK Italian Kitchen LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	203 NY-303	open
C & E Island Flavor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	500 Route 303 Ste A3	open
Calabria Pizza (Orangeburg)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	479 Western Highway	open
Casa Colombia Orangeburg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	323 NY-303	open
Chocolatier Matisse - Orangeburg	Dessert	Dessert	32 Orangetown Ctr	open
Crecco's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Italian · Coffee	60 Dutch Hill Rd	open
Del' Arte Restaurant Del Arte	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	20 Mountain View Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	15 Orangetown Shopping Ctr	open
Erld Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		203 Route 303	open
Fiesta Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	380 Ny-303	open
Fresco Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		65 Dutch Hill Rd	open
Gino's Bagel Inc	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	331 NY-303	open
Gong cha USA Gong Cha	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	46 W Orangeburg Rd	open
Hikaru Sushi Hikaru sushi Northshore	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7 Orangetown Shopping Ctr	open
Hogan's Diner	Coffee shop · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American · Breakfast	17 Orangetown Shopping Ctr	open
Il Fresco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	15 Kings Hwy	open
Keebler Co	Bakery	Bakery	29 Corporate Dr	open
Kitchen No. 1 Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		327 Rte 303	open
Le Gateau Suisse Ltd	Bakery	Bakery	20 Mountainview Ave Ste A	open
M&R United Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	500 NY-303	open
Marty's Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	500 NY-303	open
Munchiez of Orangeburg NY	Restaurant (service type not stated)		327 Route 303	open
New Wok King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	500 Rte 303	open
Nonna Rosa Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	315 RT-303	open
Orangetown Classic Diner	Casual dining	American	512 NY-303	open
Osaka Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	60 Dutch Hill Rd	open
Quiznos	Quick service		30 Orangetown Shopping Ctr	open
Rockland Cider Works	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		68 Sickletown Rd	open
Roy Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	500 Route 303	open
Sitar Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	38 Orangetown Shopping Ctr	open
SOD Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	500 NY-303 A3	open
Stella Luna Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4 Orangetown Shopping Ctr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	20 Orangetown Shopping Ctr	open
Thai Garden NY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	303 NY-303	open
The James Trading Group Inc-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13 Highview Ave	open
the Perk House Coffee co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	60 Dutch Hill Rd	open
The Porch at Calabria	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	479 Western Hwy	open
Toms Flooring Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Highview Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	23	19	11	7	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	21	16	9	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	17	12	9	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	21	16	12	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	19	16	11	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	18	16	11	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	19	17	11	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	22	19	10	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	19	17	9	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	23	21	11	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	26	23	12	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	26	24	12	9	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	24	22	11	7	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	23	21	11	7	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	28	26	14	6	6	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	22	11	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	25	23	12	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	25	22	11	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	26	23	11	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	24	21	12	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	22	11	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	23	11	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	23	11	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	26	13	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	26	13	8	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	24	12	7	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10962. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10913	1.4 mi	14	2023
10983	1.4 mi	13	2023
10968	2.3 mi	20	2023
10976	2.5 mi	8	2023
10965	2.5 mi	41	2023
07647	2.9 mi	27	2023
10960	3.3 mi	59	2023
10964	3.4 mi	4	2023
10994	3.4 mi	48	2023
07675	3.8 mi	68	2023
07648	4.0 mi	14	2023
07640	4.1 mi	6	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.