BMIE Market 10965

Rockland County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,206 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,212 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,743 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±376 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,791 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,599 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$132,660 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,844 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,962 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$596,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10965
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+78.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+64.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	44 (range 39–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10965. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.4	83	40%	+33.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.1	60	35%	+21.0
Market Momentum Score	71.5	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,206	77	40%	+30.7
Median household income (ACS)	132,660	94	40%	+37.4
Households (ACS)	5,743	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.9	57	35%	+20.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.0	24	25%	+5.9
Population (ACS)	15,206	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	132,660	94	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20.6	78	50%	+39.0
10-year restaurant growth	13.9	57	30%	+17.2
20-year restaurant growth	78.3	77	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (85)

By cuisine

American 13 · British / Irish pub food 9 · Italian 8 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Asian 6 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Japanese 5 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Sushi 3 · Greek 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Bar 18 · Quick service 13 · Casual dining 11 · Dessert 7 · Specialty food shop 7 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
50 E Central Ave Pub Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		50 E Central Ave	open
AJ's Catering and Take Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	184 Brightwood Ave	open
Bar Mac South Bound Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Railroad Ave	open
Barley Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17 N Main St	open
Bella's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	14 S Main St	open
Bergen Supply	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 Railroad Ave	open
Best Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	20 E Central Ave	open
Blue Hill Bar Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		285 Blue Hill Rd	open
Bru House	Casual dining · Bar	British / Irish pub food	1 Railroad Ave	open
Bubbakoo's Burritos Bubbakoo's Burritos	Quick service	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	83 N Middletown Rd	open
Café Diem	Restaurant (service type not stated)		40 S Main St	open
Clearwater Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	500 Veterans Memorial Dr	open
D&N SUSHI BAR	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1 Veterans Pkwy	open
Danny's BBQ & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	50 East Central Avenue	open
Dean's Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	39 E Central Ave	open
Defiant Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		6 E Dexter Plz	open
Depot Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6 S Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	33 E Central Ave	open
Downtown Pearl River, NY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast		open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	112 N Middletown Rd	open
Edible Arrangements Edible Arrangements	Dessert	Dessert	46 E Central Ave	open
Emmett's Castle at Blue Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	285 Blue Hill Rd	open
Fleming's Place	Bar		56 S Main St	open
Gentle Giant Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		7 N Main St	open
Gildea's Bar & Restaurant	Bar	British / Irish pub food	61 E Central Ave	open
Good Taste Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	104 N Middletown Rd	open
Greek Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	8 N William St	open
Hot Dog Express	Quick service		184 Brightwood Ave	open
Hudson West Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	50 E Central Ave	open
Ice Factory	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2 Veterans Pkwy	open
Ichiban	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15 N Main St	open
Indian Food Pearl River	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	1 Blue Hill Plaza	open
Joe and Joe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	65 E Central Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	130 S Pearl St	open
King Kone	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	136 N Middletown Rd	open
Koi 21 Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	21 E Washington Ave	open
Kumo Japanese Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	22 S Main St	open
Kwan Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	22 E Central Ave	open
Loml	Bar		35 Van Zandt Dr	open
Louie's on the Avenue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	160 E Central Ave	open
Luigi O'Grady's	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	106 N Middletown Rd	open
Mickey's Tavern	Bar		50 E Central Ave	open
Mooney's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	9 W Central Ave	open
Muddy Brook Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	10 S Main St	open
Munno's Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches · Italian	51 E Central Ave	open
Munno's Too	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	53 E Central Ave	open
Murty's Publick House	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	29 W Central Ave	open
Nauraushaun Country Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	661 Orangeburg Rd	open
New Collage Pizza Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		54 N Middletown Rd	open
No 1 Kitchen 88 Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		79A N Middletown Rd	open
No 1 Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	79A N Middletown Rd	open
O'Grady's Castle	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food · American	285 Blue Hill Rd	open
Pan and Peel Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5 N Main St	open
Pearl River Bagels & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	130 E Central Ave	open
Pearl River Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	137 N Middletown Rd	open
Pearl River Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	79 N Middletown Rd # A	open
Peggy's Grill House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · American	87 N Middletown Rd	open
Pilgrim Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	16 Franklin Ave Apt 2	open
Pita Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mediterranean · European	420 N Middletown Rd	open
Pizza City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	108 N Middletown Rd	open
Pizzetiello	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	41 E Central Ave	open
Quinta Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	24 E Central Ave	open
Raffaele's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	89 E. Central Ave	open
Rjfoods Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		40 S Main St	open
Russo's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Specialty food shop · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Italian · Bakery	8 E Central Ave	open
Sakura Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	79 Old Middletown Rd	open
Sicomac Partners Pearl River Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 N Middletown Rd	open
Sorrento Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	54 N Middletown Rd	open
Southbound Cafe & Bar	Café	Coffee	1 Railroad Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	81 N Middletown Rd	open
T.F. Noonan's	Bar	British / Irish pub food	16 E Central Ave	open
Taco Taxi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	89 E Central Ave	open
The Gracie Rose	Bar	British / Irish pub food	44 E Central Ave	open
The Greenstar Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	163 N Middletown Rd	open
The Mansion at Blue Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		285 Blue Hill Rd	open
The Parkside Tavern	Bar		9 W Central Ave	open
The Pearl River Hotel	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4 S Main St	open
The Pearl River Saloon	Casual dining · Bar	American	45-49 W Central Ave	open
The River	Café		253 Ehrhardt Rd	open
The Unknown Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	8 N William St	open
Uncle Tommy's Tavern	Bar	British / Irish pub food	33 W Central Ave	open
Walter's Cake Art	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3 Veterans Pkwy	open
Yogurt Sensations	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	42 E Central Ave	open
Zimi Bagel Cafe and Deli	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	38 N Middletown Rd	open
River Lounge	Bar		41 E Central Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	33	25	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	30	24	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	36	30	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	38	30	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	39	25	12	6	6	9	NAICS1997
1999	35	22	10	6	5	7	NAICS1997
2000	35	23	10	6	6	7	NAICS1997
2001	38	24	10	6	7	9	NAICS1997
2002	41	23	12	7	3	10	NAICS1997
2003	37	23	11	9	3	9	NAICS2002
2004	42	27	11	12	4	8	NAICS2002
2005	48	32	18	10	4	9	NAICS2002
2006	41	27	13	10	4	6	NAICS2002
2007	42	30	14	11	5	7	NAICS2002
2008	43	31	16	10	5	6	NAICS2007
2009	40	30	16	9	5	5	NAICS2007
2010	45	33	18	9	6	6	NAICS2007
2011	41	31	16	11	4	6	NAICS2007
2012	47	36	19	13	4	6	NAICS2012
2013	47	36	17	14	5	6	NAICS2012
2014	45	34	16	13	5	6	NAICS2012
2015	44	35	18	12	5	6	NAICS2012
2016	44	34	14	15	5	6	NAICS2012
2017	49	37	16	14	7	6	NAICS2017
2018	48	34	13	15	6	7	NAICS2017
2019	49	35	13	17	5	6	NAICS2017
2020	48	35	13	17	5	6	NAICS2017
2021	50	40	15	19	6	6	NAICS2017
2022	53	43	17	19	7	6	NAICS2022
2023	50	41	19	17	5	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10965. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
07645	2.1 mi	26	2023
10962	2.5 mi	24	2023
07656	2.6 mi	27	2023
10954	2.6 mi	73	2023
10913	2.7 mi	14	2023
10994	3.1 mi	48	2023
07677	3.7 mi	9	2023
10983	3.8 mi	13	2023
07675	4.0 mi	68	2023
07642	4.2 mi	21	2023
10977	4.5 mi	89	2023
10960	4.6 mi	59	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.