BMIE Market 10968

Rockland County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,456 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,086 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,353 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,265 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$145,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,848 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,939 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±280 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$677,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±226,599 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10968
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	72.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+185.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10968. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.9	68	40%	+27.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.7	54	35%	+18.8
Market Momentum Score	69.9	70	25%	+17.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,456	49	40%	+19.5
Median household income (ACS)	145,000	96	40%	+38.2
Households (ACS)	1,086	51	20%	+10.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	81.4	5	25%	+1.3
Population (ACS)	2,456	49	20%	+9.7
Median household income (ACS)	145,000	96	20%	+19.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.7	75	50%	+37.7
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	42.9	60	20%	+12.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 4 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · Greek 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 9 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
14 & Hudson	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food · American	457 Piermont Ave	open
211 Confetti Ristorante, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	200 Ash St	open
Basque Tapas Bar Restaurant	Bar	Spanish / tapas	587 Piermont Ave	open
Bunbury's Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	460 Piermont Ave	open
Canzona's Market	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	254 Piermont Ave	open
Cornetta's Restaurant & Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	641 Piermont Ave	open
D'vine Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		453 Piermont Ave	open
Freelance Cafe & Wine Bar	Bar · Café	Coffee · American	506 Piermont Ave	open
Gyro Downtown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Sandwiches · Mediterranean	456 Piermont Ave	open
Harbour House	Bar		457 Piermont Ave	open
Hinode Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	55 US-9W	open
JAZZ at the Turning Point Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		468 Piermont Ave	open
Kings Pizza	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	453 Piermont Ave	open
Lighthouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	701 Piermont Ave	open
Otto's Full Service	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	505 Piermont Ave	open
Pier 701	Restaurant (service type not stated)		701 Piermont Ave	open
Piermont Creamery	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	10 Roundhouse Rd	open
Pirsos Coffee And Tea Inc-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		460 Piermont Ave	open
Rivertown Taphouse	Casual dining · Bar		5 Roundhouse Rd	open
Sabi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	506 Piermont Ave	open
Sidewalk Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	482 Piermont Ave	open
Slatterys Landing Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	5 Roundhouse Rd	open
Tequila Sal Y Limon Tequila Sal Y Limon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	468 Piermont Ave	open
The Reef Seafood Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	587 Piermont Ave	open
Trata On The River	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Greek	701 Piermont Ave	open
Twk Community Market & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		485 Piermont Ave	open
Xaviar's at Piermont	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	506 Piermont Ave	open
Flywheel Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	210 Ash St	closed
Maxine’s Chocolaterie	Bakery	Bakery	7 Roundhouse Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	9	8	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	9	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	10	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	8	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	10	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	16	14	12	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	12	10	—	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	13	11	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	10	8	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	10	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	13	11	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	10	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	17	13	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	15	12	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	14	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	14	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	18	16	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	17	15	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	15	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	15	13	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	17	14	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	12	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	16	15	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	17	14	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	18	15	—	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	20	17	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10968. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10976	1.0 mi	8	2023
10983	1.4 mi	13	2023
10964	1.5 mi	4	2023
07647	2.2 mi	27	2023
10962	2.3 mi	24	2023
10503	2.5 mi	1	2004
10913	2.9 mi	14	2023
10533	3.5 mi	19	2023
07648	3.5 mi	14	2023
10522	3.6 mi	31	2023
10960	3.6 mi	59	2023
10706	4.2 mi	20	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.