BMIE Market 10532

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,347 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±477 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,804 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,931 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,743 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$141,157 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,180 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,885 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$697,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39,725 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10532
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	30.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	15 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10532. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.5	74	40%	+29.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.8	45	35%	+15.7
Market Momentum Score	14.9	15	25%	+3.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,347	62	40%	+24.6
Median household income (ACS)	141,157	95	40%	+38.0
Households (ACS)	1,804	59	20%	+11.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	35%	+5.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.4	31	25%	+7.9
Population (ACS)	5,347	62	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	141,157	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 15 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	30%	+4.9
20-year restaurant growth	-7.7	18	20%	+3.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 4 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 4 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Quick service 2 · Buffet 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	18 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Bagels & Deli Express	Café · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · Bakery · American	389 Elwood Ave	open
Catharsis Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Latin American (other)	415 Commerce St	open
Chatterbox Hawthorne	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	58 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Chigo Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	58 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Denny's Buffet Denny's	Buffet	American · Caribbean	321 Elwood Ave	open
Dining Times	Casual dining	American	17 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Empire Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	321 Elwood Ave Ste 2	open
Ernesto's Kitchen Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 Commerce St	open
Executive Diner	Casual dining	American	26 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Gasho Of Japan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	6 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Hawthorne Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	334 Elwood Ave	open
Ichi Yi Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	58 Saw Mill River Rd	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18 Saw Mill River Road	open
Likha Art Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	363 Elwood Ave	open
Mexicali	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	15 Commerce St	open
Oriental Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	58 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	19 Bradhurst Ave	open
Pop's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	342 Elwood Ave	open
Rak Diner Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Skyline Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	7 Skyline Dr	open
The Stone Manor 101	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	101 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Three Little Pigs BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	481 Commerce St	open
Tramonto Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	27 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Unionville Tavern	Bar		415 Commerce St	open
Victor's	Bar		500 Commerce St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	33 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Gasho Of Japan	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Saw Mill River Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	10	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	17	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	18	14	8	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	10	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	9	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	9	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	16	14	9	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	18	15	10	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	15	10	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	11	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	9	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	15	10	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	8	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	14	8	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	17	8	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	18	15	8	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	8	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	14	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	15	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	14	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	14	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10532. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10595	1.4 mi	14	2023
10594	1.9 mi	26	2023
10570	2.0 mi	45	2023
10591	2.8 mi	68	2023
10523	3.0 mi	33	2023
10510	3.3 mi	25	2023
10603	3.4 mi	27	2023
10604	3.4 mi	18	2023
10607	4.3 mi	18	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.